Replies to post #105462 on SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)

[Neutral Man]

Auhh-O, pattern Violation and the re-Vised 4cast favors da-Shorts, oh boy, sigh.........

Date Open High Low Close
11-Jun 44.56 45.54 44.61 45.50
14-Jun 45.91 46.26 45.31 45.49
15-Jun 45.71 46.77 45.79 46.71
16-Jun 46.58 47.35 46.50 46.95
17-Jun 47.16 47.18 46.64 47.05
4cast
18-Jun 47.06 47.08 46.28 46.47

Boyz, why you do us like dat, LOL!

[Neutral Man]

Buy-Signals, Sell-Signals and da-Boyz, Oh My, LOL!?

The Buy-Signal issued on 10Jun is still in control and with two additional buy-signals issed since 10Jun we continue to Look upward!

The buy-signal issued on 15Jun was confirmed on 16Jun and the negate number, 46.13, did not even get close to getting tagged 17Jun!

Da-Boyz have our attention since they CLOSED above the R2(46.68) AND the long-term break-out/break-down level of 46.64!! We back-tested the R1(46.68), 17Jun and it held, we should now look to the R3(47.79) today for more clues as to how High we go!?

The S&P500 has finally breached it's respective YTD OE Pivot, 1102.47 and this is cause for celebration for da-Bulls!! We expect the S&P500 to tag the R1(1130.03) or 2.5% up mark-r before back-testing the YTD OE Pivot, 1102.47? That said, we must submit to the R2(1157.59), being a Serious Break-Out level that'll point toward the R3(1185.16), into earnings season!?

In summary, ALL data points to a NEW YTD High being tagged on this up move and we expect 46.68 to HOLD on a CLOSE-ing basis going forward for the Q's!?

4cast says, MORE UP!??

Date Open High Low Close
18-Jun 47.06 47.34 46.86 47.00
4cast
21-Jun 47.52 47.71 47.27 47.53


Sorry SHORTS but da-Boyz are gonna stick up your Asskies and Break it off today and Tuesday, oh boy, sigh.............


Buy-Signals:

The Buy-Signal from 05Feb, and the five buy-signals that followed, did NOT get negated until 27Apr! Since then we've had six Buy-Signals and ALL six have been negated!

No, Date, Negate #
1) 05Feb, 42.44
2) 11Feb, 43.12
3) 12Feb, 43.21
4) 25Feb, 44.04
5) 22Mar, 47.32
6) 22Apr, 49.68 (Negated 27Apr)
7) 29Apr, 49.60 (Negated 30Apr)
8) 06May, 45.99 (Negated 07May)
9) 12May, 48.01 (Negated 13May)
10)21May, 44.24 (confirmed 24May)
11)25May, 44.14 Not Confrimed
12)27May, 45.30 (Negated)
13)02Jun, 45.67 (negated 04Jun)
14)10Jun, 44.51 (confirmed 11Jun)
15)11Jun, 44.93 (confirmed 14Jun)
16)15Jun, 46.13 (confirmed 16Jun)

Sell-Signals:

Sell-Signals have definitely dominated the scene since 11Mar and we suspect they'll continute to win out over buy-signals indefitely going forward?

NO, Date, Negate #
1) 11Mar, 48.30
2) 12Mar, 48.31
3) 16Mar, 48.50
4) 18Mar, 48.79
5) 22Mar, 48.88
6) 23Mar, 49.22
7) 25Mar, 48.91
8) 29Mar, 49.19 (Negated 13Apr with a close above!)
9) 14Apr, 50.91 (confirmed with an additional Sell-Signal 15Apr)
10)15Apr, 51.13 (confirmed on 16Apr)
11)27Apr, 50.34 (confirmed on 28Apr)
12)30Apr, 50.22 (confirmed on 03May)
13)04May, 49.40 (confirmed 05May)
14)07May, 46.32 (Negated 10May)
15)13May, 48.81 (confirmed 14May)
16)18May, 47.36 (confirmed 19May)
17)20May, 45.24 (confirmed 21May, negated 27May)
18)01Jun, 46.14 (negated 02Jun)
19)04Jun, 45.99
20)07Jun, 45.16 (confirmed 08Jun)
21)09Jun, 44.70 (negated 10Jun)
None

Last but defintely NOT Least is the OEPM S/R lines of meaning!

53.35 20.00% R8
52.24 17.50% R7
51.13 15.00% R6
50.02 12.50% R5 (Serious resistance as of 30Apr)
48.91 10.00% R4 (violated 04May, look to the R3 for guidance now)
47.79 7.50% R3 (violated 14May, hasn't been seen since)
46.68 5.00% R2 (violated 18May on a close-ing basis and back-tested 19May)
45.57 2.50% R1 (violated 20May and NOW Serious resistance)

44.46 0.00% YTD OE Pivot (Once thought to be the FINAL Discount wave target, close at 44.35 on 20May and another violation will Open the FLOOD gates to start vilating the Support levels!!??)

43.35 -2.50% S1
42.24 -5.00% S2
41.13 -7.50% S3
40.01 -10.00% S4
38.90 -12.50% S5
37.79 -15.00% S6
36.68 -17.50% S7
35.57 -20.00% S8