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Neutral Man

05/28/10 7:49 AM

#104210 RE: Neutral Man #104209

4cast based on pre-market price action...!?


Date Open High Low Close
21-May 43.64 45.08 43.49 44.84
24-May 44.81 45.33 44.64 44.66
25-May 43.67 44.76 43.23 44.70
26-May 44.93 45.57 44.12 44.21
27-May 45.22 45.89 45.09 45.87
4cast
28-May 46.21 46.68 45.38 45.52
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Neutral Man

06/01/10 6:15 AM

#104367 RE: Neutral Man #104209

Buy-Signals, Sell-Signals and da-Boyz, Oh My, LOL!?

BOTH the Sell-Signal AND Buy-Signals have been negated and we MUST submit to these latest develpoments in regard to our port activities, BUT, we feel compelled to DISCARD said system signals and play our GUT feelings instead, oh boy, sigh........ playing da-GUT feelings play is probably gonna leave a MARK on on Port balances and we STILL Feel compelled to over-ride da-system, sigh...........

It probably goes without saying that a violation of the YTD Pivot44.46, will set in stage a decline of which NO Long play-r is gonna be able to handle, hence, we can NOT expect such a violation since da-Boyz probably do NOT want to cause a 1929 like PANIC Sell wave, or do they!?

That said, the 4cast-r says we have to reconcile a -7.9% down day today and we do NOT LIKE IT!


Date Open High Low Close
28-May 45.94 45.98 45.20 45.60
4cast
1-Jun 44.69 45.61 41.27 41.98


In summary, da-Boyz have REALLY done it dis-TIME as they even have US second guessing our system signals and we DO NOT LIKE IT!!

Boyz, we appologize for the CAPE pulling episode and promise to NOT SPIT into the WIND anytime SOON so could yo uplease go a bit easier on us for the remainder of the OE period, or NOT, LOL!


Buy-Signals:

The Buy-Signal from 05Feb, and the five buy-signals that followed, did NOT get negated until 27Apr! Since then we've had three Buy-Signals and ALL three have been negated!

No, Date, Negate #
1) 05Feb, 42.44
2) 11Feb, 43.12
3) 12Feb, 43.21
4) 25Feb, 44.04
5) 22Mar, 47.32
6) 22Apr, 49.68 (Negated 27Apr)
7) 29Apr, 49.60 (Negated 30Apr)
8) 06May, 45.99 (Negated 07May)
9) 12May, 48.01 (Negated 13May)
10)21May, 44.24 (confirmed 24May)
11)25May, 44.14 Not Confrimed
12)27May, 45.30 (Negated)
None

Sell-Signals:

Every Signal was confirmed and Price NEVER closed below the negate Number, UNTIL, 13Apr, since then EVERY Sell-Signal has been confirmed and NOT negated(except the one on 07May when we got that massive short squeeze), WOW!

NO, Date, Negate #
1) 11Mar, 48.30
2) 12Mar, 48.31
3) 16Mar, 48.50
4) 18Mar, 48.79
5) 22Mar, 48.88
6) 23Mar, 49.22
7) 25Mar, 48.91
8) 29Mar, 49.19 (Negated 13Apr with a close above!)
9) 14Apr, 50.91 (confirmed with an additional Sell-Signal 15Apr)
10)15Apr, 51.13 (confirmed on 16Apr)
11)27Apr, 50.34 (confirmed on 28Apr)
12)30Apr, 50.22 (confirmed on 03May)
13)04May, 49.40 (confirmed 05May)
14)07May, 46.32 (Negated 10May)
15)13May, 48.81 (confirmed 14May)
16)18May, 47.36 (confirmed 19May)
17)20May, 45.24 (confirmed 21May, negated 27May)
None

Last but defintely NOT Least is the OEPM S/R lines of meaning!

53.35 20.00% R8
52.24 17.50% R7
51.13 15.00% R6
50.02 12.50% R5 (Serious resistance as of 30Apr)
48.91 10.00% R4 (violated 04May, look to the R3 for guidance now)
47.79 7.50% R3 (violated 14May, hasn't been seen since)
46.68 5.00% R2 (violated 18May on a close-ing basis and back-tested 19May)
45.57 2.50% R1 (violated 20May and NOW Serious resistance)

44.46 0.00% YTD OE Pivot (Once thought to be the FINAL Discount wave target, close at 44.35 on 20May and another violation will Open the FLOOD gates to start vilating the Support levels!!??)

43.35 -2.50% S1
42.24 -5.00% S2
41.13 -7.50% S3
40.01 -10.00% S4
38.90 -12.50% S5
37.79 -15.00% S6
36.68 -17.50% S7
35.57 -20.00% S8