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Neutral Man

05/22/10 9:05 PM

#103626 RE: Neutral Man #103624

The 4cast says more BLOOD in da-Streets....!?

Looks like a GAP below the YTD OE Pivot, 44.46, then an attempt to breach dat puppy, then failure, then a Cascading-Waterfall event that ends at or near the S2(42.24)!?

Have a Great Weekend ALL!

Date Open High Low Close
14-May 47.49 47.52 46.38 46.93
17-May 47.04 47.27 46.07 47.08
18-May 47.47 47.58 46.22 46.43
19-May 46.26 46.63 45.55 46.06
20-May 45.20 45.28 44.25 44.35
21-May 43.64 45.08 43.49 44.84
4cast
24-May 44.25 44.46 42.49 42.51
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Neutral Man

05/23/10 9:28 PM

#103641 RE: Neutral Man #103624

The 13, 21, and 34 sma's are telling us that there is ZERO chance of a Bottom ANYTIME soon!!

On 07May the 13sma dropped below the 21sma and on 14May the 21sma dropped below the 34sma and this is NEVER a Bullish thing!

In addition, the Close-ing price is also continue-ing to close BELOW the 13sma and this is EXTREMELY BEARISH!!

In summay, our proprietary stuff tells us that ANY UP action should be SHORTED with ZERO concern for loss!!

Date Close 13sma 21sma 34sma 55sma
5/07/10 45.41 49.08 49.25 48.88 47.85(13 under the 21)
5/10/10 47.77 48.90 49.19 48.88 47.90
5/11/10 47.72 48.70 49.13 48.86 47.95
5/12/10 48.62 48.56 49.09 48.88 48.03
5/13/10 47.85 48.36 48.99 48.88 48.09
5/14/10 46.93 48.17 48.84 48.85 48.14(21 under the34)
5/17/10 47.08 48.00 48.72 48.81 48.18
5/18/10 46.43 47.70 48.58 48.76 48.20
5/19/10 46.06 47.46 48.40 48.69 48.21
5/20/10 44.35 47.03 48.13 48.58 48.18
5/21/10 44.84 46.75 47.87 48.47 48.17

The 13sma is at 46.75, hence, price could BOUNCE and close above the R1(45.57), and Still NOT negate the BEAR-ish outlook!?
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Neutral Man

05/24/10 9:30 AM

#103657 RE: Neutral Man #103624

WHAT a GIFT, we'll be use-ing the Early Upward Picture Painting to Add SHORT positions and we thank da-Boyz in advance!!

Order to BtO, 240 Jun44 puts at 1.50 +/-??


JunOE Open positions:

None



Total gains for the JunOE = 0.00 against 40 contracts

24May10, posts as 0.00 against 40 contracts
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Neutral Man

05/25/10 8:46 AM

#103834 RE: Neutral Man #103624

Buy-Signals, Sell-Signals and da-Boyz, Oh My, LOL!?


The Buy-Signal on 21May was confirmed on 24May, BUT, the new negate number is 44.28 and in keeping with our YTD OE Pivot support at 44.46!! It's looking rather obvious that BOTH the negate number, 44.28, AND the YTD Pivot will Fall today leaving the door open for a Collapse of which No one living today, except a few, have ever witnessed in their life-time!!!!

Honestly ALL, if we violate the YTD Pivot, 44.46 again then we're gonna have a Cascading-WaterFall event that'll take us to the S2(42.24) before we Bounce! And the Bounce will be SHORT and SWEET and maybe up to the R1(45.57), before falling fast and furious down to the S8(35.57)!!??

We did NOT get above the YTD R1(45.57), AGAIN, nor the Sell-Signal negate number, 45.24, got to 45.33 but did NOT CLOSE above, so we expect this 45.24/57 level to be resistance for the remainder of this CENTURY!!!

We'll use ANY FREAKEN Attempt at a Bounce to SHORT, SHORT, and SHORT again as we expect the S&P500 to end at ZERO on 21Dec2012, oh boy, sigh....

I guess Warren Buffet is gonna lose a whole lot of money on dem S&P500 derivitives but he should of stuck with what he knew, taking peoples money and promise-ing to help-em if they ever got into trouble, otherwise known as Insurance, sheesh another Giant about to FALL, oh boy, sigh.............


Buy-Signals:

The Buy-Signal from 05Feb, and the five buy-signals that followed, did NOT get negated until 27Apr! Since then we've had three Buy-Signals and ALL three have been negated!

No, Date, Negate #
1) 05Feb, 42.44
2) 11Feb, 43.12
3) 12Feb, 43.21
4) 25Feb, 44.04
5) 22Mar, 47.32
6) 22Apr, 49.68 (Negated 27Apr)
7) 29Apr, 49.60 (Negated 30Apr)
8) 06May, 45.99 (Negated 07May)
9) 12May, 48.01 (Negated 13May)
10)21May, 44.24

Sell-Signals:

Every Signal was confirmed and Price NEVER closed below the negate Number, UNTIL, 13Apr, since then EVERY Sell-Signal has been confirmed and NOT negated(except the one on 07May when we got that massive short squeeze), WOW!

NO, Date, Negate #
1) 11Mar, 48.30
2) 12Mar, 48.31
3) 16Mar, 48.50
4) 18Mar, 48.79
5) 22Mar, 48.88
6) 23Mar, 49.22
7) 25Mar, 48.91
8) 29Mar, 49.19 (Negated 13Apr with a close above!)
9) 14Apr, 50.91 (confirmed with an additional Sell-Signal 15Apr)
10)15Apr, 51.13 (confirmed on 16Apr)
11)27Apr, 50.34 (confirmed on 28Apr)
12)30Apr, 50.22 (confirmed on 03May)
13)04May, 49.40 (confirmed 05May)
14)07May, 46.32 (Negated 10May)
15)13May, 48.81 (confirmed 14May)
16)18May, 47.36 (confirmed 19May)
17)20May, 45.24 (confirmed 21May)

Last but defintely NOT Least is the OEPM S/R lines of meaning!

53.35 20.00% R8
52.24 17.50% R7
51.13 15.00% R6
50.02 12.50% R5 (Serious resistance as of 30Apr)
48.91 10.00% R4 (violated 04May, look to the R3 for guidance now)
47.79 7.50% R3 (violated 14May, hasn't been seen since)
46.68 5.00% R2 (violated 18May on a close-ing basis and back-tested 19May)
45.57 2.50% R1 (violated 20May and NOW Serious resistance)

44.46 0.00% YTD OE Pivot (Once thought to be the FINAL Discount wave target, close at 44.35 on 20May and another violation will Open the FLOOD gates to start vilating the Support levels!!??)

43.35 -2.50% S1
42.24 -5.00% S2
41.13 -7.50% S3
40.01 -10.00% S4
38.90 -12.50% S5
37.79 -15.00% S6
36.68 -17.50% S7
35.57 -20.00% S8