I addressed your two points quite clearly in my previous posts: the bombing was focused on the city itself, not the factories or the rail yard in the outskirt of the city. Much of the factories and the rail yard were not even bombed or targeted.
I also addressed your contention regarding who would win the war or how long the war would last without the bombing. If anything, the Dresden bombing decision prolonged the war and killed Allied military personnel unnecessarily in addition to killing 100,000 German civilians. The lower number that you cited earlier BTW was "Dresden residents" not counting refugees packed into the city or allied POW's. The Dresden Bombing in Feb 1945 prolonged the war by stiffening German resistance. It caused unnecessarily suffering to Allied POW's as in the aftermath Germans had to reallocate supplies for POW camps to bombing victims. It prolonged the war by mis-allocating bomber resources away from potentially much more rewarding military targets, unnecessarily endangering bomber crew on the long flight to Dresden.
As to "you weren't there," well darn, I suppose the Nazi defendants at Nuremberg would have loved that defense, along with "just following orders."