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Replies to #5954 on Biotech Values
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DewDiligence

12/20/04 3:42 PM

#5957 RE: mgm3 #5954

>>...a talking head on CNBC this AM said that PFE was overblown--even if MUST withdraw Celebrex, it would still be trading at 13 x's earnings (currently at 11 x's) I know you reloaded--any SPECULATION or thoughts on when and where it might stabilize?<<

I really have no idea. It’s my style to buy in these situations without worrying unduly about catching the bottom.

Big pharma’s being stuck in Wall Street’s doghouse will not be a long-term phenomenon. I don’t think we are going to see drug-price controls in the U.S., and nothing else has the potential to cause this sector irreparable harm.

If your horizon is sufficiently long, the dual tailwinds of an aging population and scientific advancement ought to blow through any obstacles.
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Aiming4

12/20/04 8:58 PM

#5968 RE: mgm3 #5954

PARS stock behavior...

Then there was the gut feeling: Given that individual investors are the last to know, I also think that the stock would have behaved very differently if the trials had been proceeding favorably.

Thinking about what kinds of things might have influenced PARS' behavior if Dex had been having a positive effect... The obvious example would have been if doctors were seeing unexpected positive recovery outcomes.

What other scenarios could cause a stock's behavior to accurately reflect a double blind trial's progress?... Aiming4.