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lee kramer

12/11/04 4:21 AM

#333104 RE: FinancialAdvisor #333103

Hi finananciadvisor:You may be right; but you might be wrong.How's that for certainty? I think you're right that massive creation of "funny money" over time goes hand in hand with a rise in the general level of prices. It's happened before. LBJ went with "guns & butter" to finance the 10 year war in Vietnam. Prices eventually went through the roof. The purchasing power of the dollar was awful; nobody wanted dollars. They lined up at the Treasury Window; "Here's my paper dollars, I'd like the gold promised to me in exchange. So perervasily did they request the gold that Richard Nixon closed the Gold Window on August 9, 1971. But it got worse; dollar holders the world over lined up at Central Banks seeking gold and silver. Dollars sloshed from nation to nation. It reminded me of manic musical chairs. In late December 1979 gold topped out at $875. Can it go higher? Possibly. I note that you are young, 20? This is likely the first time you've experienced and worried, [righteously] about this. I'm older. I've seen things change. Try not to worry too much.
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westpacific

12/11/04 4:40 AM

#333105 RE: FinancialAdvisor #333103

Transports, tell you hold all the keys.

Dow Theory will always rule the day.

Right now on the all time chart, if the transports cannot continue upward we have a massive H&S formation.

Right now they are not confirming the DOW and have been showing extreme weakness over the past few weeks!

Also the utilities are starting to breakdown and also showing a massive all time chart H&S formation! 300 the neckline and the index at 319 right now, watch for downside weakness below 300 as a sure sign the FED is losing against deflation and the next bear is about to insue! THIS chart and that 300 line HOLDS LOTS OF KEYS to this inflation/deflation battle!

West