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Culmus

11/20/04 12:45 PM

#325009 RE: Zeev Hed #324998

Isn't it premature to talk about what kind of upside there might be once the next decline is completed?

Zeev, in your post # 324335 you say: ".... but there are only so many days the EPC can brush with .5 (after an excursion to .4) without starting a solid down trend. Mind you, in the last 10 trading days, only once has the EPC been above .6 (and not by much, on 11/12), thus my guess is that tomorrow, if we get a squeeze up, the bear suit is probably being rezipped for a little while, counter the traditional seasonal strength."

Then in post # 324825 you see the downside here rather contained: "... Only because the nature of the beast is that former resistance often becomes support, it is quite possible that the more recent highs of April and June (in the 1130/40 area) would be a better support for the SPX. The Naz may not do the "whole" trip to 2000, 2020/25 and maybe as high as 2050 were minor overhead resistances and could serve as support."

I mean, we could be at 2050 by Monday if the day is weak, you really think that could already be all down we get?

With such a string of EPC extremes, if not the beginning of a downtrend is at hand, isn't there a more extended correction more likely than a rather shallow one?

Regards,

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westpacific

11/20/04 12:51 PM

#325011 RE: Zeev Hed #324998

Nasdog seen its top for a few weeks....

Potential for one more selling push near term and thats it. Then a wave 5 count down.

Failing threes on both daily (3 so far) and weekly (1 with another potential this coming week) and a negative week next week set up a double on the weekly.

Gonna be into December before the blow off rally, if we even see it.

I feel that SPX 1200 is the top for this market and we got within 18 points of that last week.

It may be time to sell every rally now and raise cash and keep it higher than normal. When we turn we turn hard. Once the STO and RSI reload then we will have to see how hard it can rally and that should say a lot for the future nearer term.

The RSI has turned bearish and both are running above 90% right now.

West





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shroodinvestor

11/22/04 10:30 AM

#325278 RE: Zeev Hed #324998

Zeev,

apologies if you have already stated.
but are there 2-3 companies you can recommend in this period?
I think SNDK was one.

TIA