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jrintl

11/19/04 10:28 AM

#324609 RE: Justa Werkenstiff #324596

Justa- should your stat be tempered by the fact that all your example occured after the 2004 Jan top- which meant we were in a corrective phase during much/all of your statistical period?
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Zeev Hed

11/19/04 10:36 AM

#324621 RE: Justa Werkenstiff #324596

I don't disagree, the problem is that today is expiry and normal games don't always work. If we indeed have no delta hedging, and it seems that way now, then, statistically, Monday after a down expiry is higher, getting the the topping action according to Jim's schedule on Wednesday, I won't hold my breath for that since here around 2100, I think we have to let the market regroup for a solid 100 Naz points or so anyhow.