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mjk

11/11/04 11:21 PM

#321444 RE: Zeev Hed #321443

Zeev, we're getting your moonshot right now, and the internals are still fine. I think the problem has been that everyone was looking for the pullback before the big rise, and instead, we're just getting the big rise.

Posted by: mjk
In reply to: jjstingray who wrote msg# 36033
Date:11/5/2004 11:14:06 AM
Post #of 36373

The one thing is though, almost everyone's complaining about the bullishness and looking for tops, so that's really not that great of a bearish signal<g>.

As far as the P/C, that may put a stop to this for today, but I remember a week ago someone was posting how low the P/C was...I pointed out it looked just like April 17th 03, when the Nas started a massive two month rally.

I would not be surprised to see today's gap get filled, but we should continue higher the next few weeks, with the 9ema providing support.

edit: I expect 2153 to be hit right about the day before thanksgiving...still have my longer term target out there as well, 2368-2400 around end of Jan.
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Burk

11/11/04 11:45 PM

#321449 RE: Zeev Hed #321443

Meisler on TheStreet.com said before the bell:

"And we also need to pay attention to the number of stocks making new highs. We now have a benchmark: the published numbers on the NYSE need to show at least 430 new highs; Wednesday's reading was 275. A preferable number would be 467, the March peak reading. If they can't do that, it will be a sign of exhaustion for the market".


We had 361 today. Significant??
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chainik

11/11/04 11:46 PM

#321450 RE: Zeev Hed #321443

<That worries me as far as the possibility of a post retrench moonshot I expected>

Glad you mentioned this. It certainly feels that the current level may turn out to be more significant top than consensus expectations.
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Bignuts

11/12/04 5:42 AM

#321474 RE: Zeev Hed #321443

After looking at the NAS chart...it would be nice to test the mid line on the fork as well as a test of the 200sma which would put it in you ballpark drop...next week should be interesting..

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$COMPQ,uu[r,a]daclyiay[pb10!b20!b40!b100!b200!f][vc60][i....


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Justa Werkenstiff

11/12/04 7:11 AM

#321480 RE: Zeev Hed #321443

Z: Re: "I always hear the same comments at tops that are much more significant then what we are at right now."

Yep, keep that thought in mind.