<World economic conditions would need to be much worse than currently.> That's where you get into the area of true speculation. A true speculator bets on his brain's ability thru analysis to create a scenario for the future and bet on it. George Soros is the greatest speculator of the past 30years, as such i like to hear his commentary on Gold's future. I do know that Soros stated that the turn down in the dollar is real, and that it will be getting EVENTUALLY to 80-85. Max