it will take a fair amount of math calculations and calculating which day between 10/24 and 10/29 i short the market with a tight stop loss to be set in place 11/1. Zogby Pollsters say polling action is identical in patterns that were occurring at this time in 2000. They see a significant chance we will have no winner by Wednesday. I feel we have a 50/50 chance of no winner by Wednesday 11/3 and 25% chance of a prolonged post election battling of challenges, recounts and tension and fights. If this happens i believe the market is going to roll over and roll over hard. this shows how contested this is http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Do you have any pre-election view when market will hit high and then start to fade as election comes closer???
zeev, you playing IBM? i bot a small position this morning @ 85 and planned to sell before the close but got side tracked. while on the phone in AH,i put a sell in @ 87.65 (after seeing the earnings) and was shocked to just see it got hit. do you think it will bump up to the recent 88.10 area and pull back? if i remember correctly you usually play this around earnings.
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