Asia Times Online sources claim that "a big mission" has been assigned from South Waziristan that is aimed at shattering the writ of Musharraf in the country. When, where and how are the questions now occupying the full attention of the three premier intelligence agencies in country - the Intelligence Bureau, Military Intelligence and Inter-Services Intelligence.
Background:
The government's immediate task will be to track down the mastermind of the kidnapping, Abdullah Mehsud, and then to prepare for further major plots being hatched in South Waziristan aimed at destabilizing the administration of President General Pervez Musharraf.
“Commander” Abdullah Mehsud had been held as a terrorist suspect at the US military detention centre at Guantanamo Bay in 2001.
He arrived in Kabul in March with a group of 22 detainees after a Pentagon official announced, “They’re no longer a threat to the United States. They have no intelligence value.”
Yet after his release, the black-bearded militant, who wears a prosthesis on the lower part of his left leg, made his way to Pakistan’s wild tribal region bordering Afghanistan where hundreds have died in battles between security forces and foreign and local Al Qaeda-linked Islamic militants since March.
It is at least the second time in recent months that evidence has emerged of someone released from Guantanamo linking up with militants in Pakistan or Afghanistan, raising questions about US intelligence capabilities in the war on terror. #msg-4255871
Abdullah in taking two Chinese engineers hostage has done the United States a great service in that his actions could affect relations between Pakistan and China. A disintegrating relationship between Pakistan and China would be to the advantage of the United States. One should ask if Abdullah is working for the U.S. Now it seems Abdullah may be connected to what is to be a major plot aimed at destabilizing the administration of President General Pervez Musharraf.
Pakistan is important, even though this may change, an amphibious attack was originally targeted against Iran from the Arabian Sea, with a provocative US blockade in the Gulf of Oman to choke Iran’s sealanes of communications. Pakistan would be the base for mounting massive air reconnaissance and surveillance of Iran, while Iranian dissidents, backed by the US army, would launch land assaults from the Iraq-Iran border.
However Musharraf has recently turned toward China and has offered Pakistan port facilities to China. This would put the Chinese, albeit non-military vessels, next to Iran’s shipping lane the Strait of Hormuz. If the Chinese have access to these ports in time their military vessels will probably visit. The Chinese have a considerable investment in Iran’s oil and gas. Bush plans on attacking Iran by choking the Strait of Hormuz.
It should be noted China has been urged to strengthen 2.5 million semi-military in Xinjiang. This will put 2.5 million Chinese semi-military troops up against the borders of Afghanistan and Pakistan. #msg-4235085 #msg-4248304
Is the United States trying to get rid of Musharraf? Is Abdullah working independently? Is Abdullah involved in shattering the writ of Musharraf in the country?
-Am
Hostage death adds to Musharraf's woes By Syed Saleem Shahzad
October 16, 2004
KARACHI - The killing of a Chinese hostage during a rescue operation in the Pakistani tribal area of South Waziristan on Thursday once again throws the spotlight on the troubled region and Islamabad's response to growing unrest there.
The government's immediate task will be to track down the mastermind of the kidnapping, Abdullah Mehsud, and then to prepare for further major plots being hatched in South Waziristan aimed at destabilizing the administration of President General Pervez Musharraf.
In dramatic developments on Thursday, members of the Special Services Group of the Pakistani army dressed themselves as local tribals and stormed the mud house in Chagmalai, South Waziristan, where two Chinese hostages were being held. In the ensuing gunfight, Wang Peng and the five hostage takers died. Another Chinese, Wang Ende, escaped unharmed.
The two Chinese engineers had been working on Pakistan's Gomal Zam Dam project for China's state-run Sino Hydro Corp in the restive province when they were abducted last Saturday.
The commando action was carried out after Abdullah demanded that the abductors be given a safe passage to Jandollah, in South Waziristan, where Abdullah and other insurgent tribals are hiding. The one-legged Abdullah is a veteran jihadi who fought alongside the Taliban for may years. He was captured by the US in Afghanistan in 2002 and sent to Guantanamo Bay in Cuba, but he was released early this year after the Pentagon said he was no longer a threat to the US and that he had no intelligence value.
The Pakistanis rejected Abdullah's demand for the safe passage of the kidnappers, and when their deadline for the release expired, they took the offensive.
Earlier in Jandollah, Mehsud tribals played out an ancient ritual. A woman holding the Koran and a sheep was sent to Abdullah to request the release of a Pakistani paramilitary man who was also being held hostage. As per tribal tradition, Abdullah was obliged to give respect to the woman, and he accepted her request. On Thursday, despite the commando action in Chagmalai, in the presence of local and international media, he handed over Mohammed Shaban, who hails from Wehari (Punjab) to Major-General Niaz Khattack. The major had flown into the remote and generally inaccessible area by helicopter with only a few staff.
The horizon expands Up to August this year, the fight in the tribal areas was between a few branches of Wazir tribes and the Pakistani military, which was tasked with rooting out foreign militants, including al-Qaeda, from the area.
The Mehsud tribes are the most educated segment of Pashtun society and centuries-old rivals of the Wazir. Though both tribes live in the remote high mountains, many Mehsud tribesmen adopted a successful urban life and even joined the Pakistan army and civil service, often reaching high positions, including generals and top bureaucratic posts. These two factors - their rivalry with the Wazir and their association with the establishment - pitched them on the government side when military operations in the tribal areas started early this year.
This correspondent has witnessed first-hand how Mehsud tribesmen blocked several arteries to prevent Wazir fighters from escaping the army.
However, when Pakistani planes bombed South Waziristan on September 10, killing dozens of local tribals, including women and children, the situation changed and Wazirs and Mehsuds (Panthers and Wolves, as the British military once referred to them) joined hands with the single agenda of getting rid of the "Punjabi army" from their areas.
A compact disc depicting the destruction caused by the bombing is widely available in North and South Waziristan, and copies were sent to the media throughout the country. Mehsud tribals also visited major press clubs, including in Karachi, Rawalpindi and Lahore, where they showed their wounded children, and also claimed that Pakistani forces had used special chemical weapons against them.
The next battlefield Independent sources, including the local media and tribals in South Waziristan, claim that the army is mobilizing for an extraordinary offensive, and that militants have already taken up positions in the high mountains. The army has already begun to put pressure on villages situated near the mountains where the militants are hiding in an effort to force them to stop fighting or face the music. This strategy has been used in the past, and always results in unnecessary trouble between peaceful villagers (who couldn't stop the militants even if they wanted to) and the military.
Similarly, the militants have appealed to allies in mainland Pakistan to increase the pressure on the authorities by launching attacks. In the past, attacks have been carried out on the corps commander's house in Peshawar and on the corps commander's motorcade in Karachi.
Al-Qaeda deviates In the past, al-Qaeda and its affiliates in Pakistan were not interested in targeting the country's rulers. Their struggle centered on the US and its interests, which they see as the main force in the occupation of Muslim territories. However, Musharraf's support for the US-led "war on terror" changed this, and they began to form small cells under the name of Jundullah, which randomly struck military targets or at targets that would undermine Musharraf's government. Several of these cells have been caught.
Asia Times Online sources claim that "a big mission" has been assigned from South Waziristan that is aimed at shattering the writ of Musharraf in the country. When, where and how are the questions now occupying the full attention of the three premier intelligence agencies in country - the Intelligence Bureau, Military Intelligence and Inter-Services Intelligence.
Syed Saleem Shahzadis Bureau Chief, Pakistan, Asia Times Online. He can be reached at saleem_shahzad2002@yahoo.com.
(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
Reference: After 9/11, General MUSHARRAF switched support from Afghanistan's Taliban to the U.S.-led war against terrorism. He has since received a hefty package of U.S. military and economic assistance and spoken of the need for "enlightened moderation." http://www.iht.com/articles/2004/10/15/news/edhaqqani.html
While this may change, an amphibious attack was originally targeted against Iran from the Arabian Sea, with a provocative US blockade in the Gulf of Oman to choke Iran’s sealanes of communications. Pakistan would be the base for mounting massive air reconnaissance and surveillance of Iran, while Iranian dissidents, backed by the US army, would launch land assaults from the Iraq-Iran border. Diplomatic sources say, the main body of the plan would remain the same, although component tactics could change. #msg-3480614 #msg-3483139
Interesting read: Chinese 'operatives' face Pakistani wrath
Saw this coming; if this comes to pass the Chinese navy will be between Bush and Iran.
Bush has to stop the Chinese navy from using this port. Watch this one play out.
In view of the Chinese interest in the Gwadar port as a gateway for the external trade of the Xinjiang province and as a regional base for the Chinese navy, the Uighur extremists, in Beijing's perception, would have a strong motive to disrupt its construction."
This would put the Chinese navy next to Iran’s shipping lane the Strait of Hormuz. The Chinese have a considerable investment in Iran’s oil and gas. Bush plans on attacking Iran by choking the Strait of Hormuz.
While this may change, an amphibious attack was originally targeted against Iran from the Arabian Sea, with a provocative US blockade in the Gulf of Oman to choke Iran’s sealanes of communications. Pakistan would be the base for mounting massive air reconnaissance and surveillance of Iran, while Iranian dissidents, backed by the US army, would launch land assaults from the Iraq-Iran border. Diplomatic sources say, the main body of the plan would remain the same, although component tactics could change. http://www.thedailystar.net/2004/07/03/d40703100483.htm
Note: Asia Times Online sources claim that "a big mission" has been assigned from South Waziristan that is aimed at shattering the writ of Musharraf in the country. When, where and how are the questions now occupying the full attention of the three premier intelligence agencies in country - the Intelligence Bureau, Military Intelligence and Inter-Services Intelligence. #msg-4312627
-Am
Chinese 'operatives' face Pakistani wrath
October 19, 2004 By B Raman
The kidnapping of two Chinese engineers working on an irrigation project in South Waziristan in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) of Pakistan by a group of pro-Osama bin Laden jihadis last week and the death of one of them on Wednesday, during a rescue operation mounted by the US-trained Special Services Group, the parent army unit of President General Pervez Musharraf, draws attention once again to the growing threat to Chinese lives and interests in Pakistan from jihadi terrorists belonging to the International Islamic Front (IIF) of bin Laden.
In an article written after an explosion in Gwadar in Balochistan on May 3 that killed three Chinese engineers, I stated as follows: "The Chinese suspicion seems to be directed at anti-Beijing Uighur extremist elements who have taken shelter in the tribal areas of Pakistan bordering Afghanistan. In view of the Chinese interest in the Gwadar port as a gateway for the external trade of the Xinjiang province and as a regional base for the Chinese navy, the Uighur extremists, in Beijing's perception, would have a strong motive to disrupt its construction."
In another article on some explosions in Tashkent in Uzbekistan, I stated as follows: "There are no reliable reports of the number of Uzbeks, Chechens and Uighurs in South Waziristan. Some Pakistani journalists who had visited the South Waziristan area in March-April had estimated the total number of foreigners who had been given shelter there by the local tribal as about 600, about 200 of them Uzbeks and the remaining Chechens, Uighurs, Arabs and others. Other reports place the number of Uighurs [at] about 100. The presence of Uzbeks, Chechens and Uighurs in the Taliban and in Gulbuddin Hekmatyar's Hebz-i-Islami now operating in Afghanistan has also been reported. Their number is not known. The Uighurs trained by the IMU (Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan) were suspected of involvement in the explosion in Gwadar in Balochistan earlier this year in which some Chinese engineers were killed and in the explosions on July 31, at the same town in which no casualties have been reported. An increase in attacks on Chinese lives and interests in Pakistan and the Xinjiang province of China is a possibility."
No official figures on the total number of Chinese engineers and other experts based in Pakistan are available. However, Dawn newspaper of Karachi (October 17) puts their number at a couple of thousand. In a report on the terrorist attack on the two Chinese engineers in the South Waziristan area, it said: "According to one official estimate, more than a couple of thousand Chinese engineers and technicians are working on several major projects in Pakistan. Most of them being in the [North West] Frontier and Balochistan provinces. Saindak, Gwadar and Chashma II are among the major projects."
Reliable and independent sources divide these engineers and other experts into the following three groups:
Those assisting Pakistan in the development of its nuclear and missile capability. They are helping Pakistan in the already commissioned Chashma I nuclear power station, in the designing and construction of the second nuclear power station called Chashma II, and in the running of the production facilities for the extraction of plutonium from spent nuclear fuel and for the assembly and fabrication of the Pakistani versions of the Chinese-designed M-9 and M-11 missiles. Those in this group constitute the largest number. Those assisting Pakistan in the construction of a new port at Gwadar in Balochistan, which is expected to reduce Pakistan's dependence on Karachi, at present the country's only major international port and major naval base, and in the exploitation of the rich mineral resources of the tribal areas bordering Afghanistan, such as the Saindak copper-ore project in Balochistan. They constitute the second-largest number. Those assisting Pakistan in the economic development of the FATA, in which South Waziristan is located, and other tribal areas and of the Northern Areas (Gilgit and Baltistan) bordering Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China. They constitute the third-largest group. While those based in the Northern Areas mainly help Pakistan in the maintenance and improvement of the Karakoram Highway, those in the FATA and other tribal areas assist Pakistan in the exploitation of the mineral resources and irrigation and power facilities in these areas.
In addition to the three groups mentioned above, small numbers of Chinese experts are also attached to the Pakistani railways for improving their performance and to the Pakistani armed forces for assisting in the maintenance of Chinese military equipment.
The presence of the Chinese engineers and other experts in the nuclear and missile establishments and in the armed forces has generally been welcomed by all sections of the population, including by the Islamic fundamentalist parties and the Pakistani jihadi organizations, which are members of the bin Laden-inspired IIF, which came into being in February 1998 and has been in the forefront of the worldwide jihad in many countries.
All of them, including bin Laden's al-Qaeda, had in the past expressed the gratitude of the Islamic ummah to Beijing for its help in the production of Pakistan's atomic bomb, which is viewed by them as the ummah's Islamic bomb and hence the common strategic asset of the ummah as a whole. There is, therefore, no controversy about their presence in Pakistani territory and no jihadi anger against them.
There is, however, growing anger against the Chinese working in Balochistan and in the FATA. The Balochs are strongly opposed to the Gwadar project, which they view as in essence meant to serve the economic and military interests of the Punjabis. Distrusting the Balochs, the regime of Musharraf has resettled a large number of Punjabis, many of them ex-servicemen, in Balochistan, particularly on the Mekran coast, for working in the Gwadar project as well as in another Chinese-aided infrastructure project for the construction of a coastal road connecting Gwadar and Karachi.
The Baloch nationalists have been agitating against these projects, which, they apprehend, would reduce them to a minority in their homeland. They have also been critical of the Chinese for assisting the military-dominated regime in its designs against the Balochs.
The anger against the Chinese working in the FATA, particularly in the South Waziristan area, is due to other reasons. The terrorist infrastructure of the Chechen, Uzbek and Uighur organizations, which are associated with bin laden's IIF, is located in this area. The Chinese have been greatly concerned over the activities of these elements, which they view as posing a threat to their security in Xinjiang.
The foreign-based Uighur organizations agitating against the Chinese fall into two groups - those agitating for azadi (freedom) for the Uighurs living in Xinjiang and in the bordering Central Asian republics (CARs), who do not have any pan-Islamic objective, and those agitating for the formation of an Islamic caliphate consisting of Xinjiang and the CARs.
The azadi elements largely operate through propaganda and other means of psychological warfare (psywar) from safe sanctuaries in the West, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and even some of the CARs. The jihadi pro-caliphate elements, which are aligned with bin Laden's IIF, operate mainly from safe sanctuaries in the FATA and other tribal areas of Pakistan. They enjoy the support of the tribal elements and the Pakistani fundamentalist and jihadi organizations.
Talking to a group of senior Pakistani newspaper editors after a visit to China last year, Musharraf was reported to have stated that he was shocked by the strong language used by the Chinese leaders while talking of the activities of the Uighur jihadi terrorists from Pakistani territory.
Since then, the Pakistani army and its Inter-Services Intelligence have mounted special operations to smoke out the Chechens, the Uzbeks and the Uighurs operating from the FATA in cooperation with one another. Apart from killing or capturing a few Uzbek and Chechen terrorists and killing a Uighur terrorist, these operations have not produced any significant results. In the meanwhile, the Hizbut Tehrir, which has a strong presence in Pakistan and the CARs, has started wooing the Uighurs in an attempt to set up sleeper cells in Xinjiang.
Among the major successes claimed by the Pakistani authorities since March are the killing of Hassan Mahsun of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement and of Nek Mohammed, a local Pakistani tribal leader, who was allegedly assisting the al-Qaeda and the Taliban remnants and causing serious injuries to Tohir Yuldeshev of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, who, however, managed to escape.
After the Gwadar explosion of May, a large number of Chinese intelligence officers from its ministries of state (external) and public (internal) security have been deployed in Balochistan and South Waziristan to assist the Pakistani authorities in their investigation and in their hunt for Uighur jihadi terrorists.
According to well-informed sources in the Pakistan police, next to the US intelligence agencies, the Chinese agencies have the largest number of operatives in Pakistani territory. While the Americans have been helping the Pakistani military-intelligence establishment in its hunt for the dregs of al-Qaeda, the Chinese operatives have been active in the hunt against Uighurs.
The jihadi organizations suspect that many of the Chinese operatives inducted into Balochistan and the FATA after the May explosion work under the cover of members of the staff of Chinese construction companies, which have been helping Pakistan in its various projects in these areas.
It is said that the kidnapping of the two Chinese engineers was an operation jointly mounted by Pakistani members of the Jundullah (Army of Allah), a new jihadi organization that came to notice for the first time at Karachi on June 10 when it unsuccessfully tried to kill the then Corps Commander of the Pakistan army at Karachi, the dregs of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, and some Chechens and Uighurs whose organizational affiliation is not clear.
The Pakistani military authorities have projected Abdullah Mehsud, a former Taliban commander who was released by US authorities from detention in the Guantanamo Bay detention camp in March, as the mastermind of the kidnap and have admitted that apart from some local tribal followers of Abdullah, three Uzbeks were also involved. They have claimed that the apparent objective of the kidnappers was to secure the release of some foreign terrorists arrested in the area recently. They have played down the possibility of any specific anti-Chinese motive.
On the other hand, Pakistani police sources say that the jihadis suspected that the two kidnapped Chinese were actually intelligence operatives working under the cover of irrigation engineers belonging to a Chinese company specializing in the construction of irrigation projects. According to them, more attacks on Chinese engineers working in Balochistan and the FATA and a possible terrorist strike against the Chinese Embassy in Islamabad are likely. There is no indication so far of the likelihood of any terrorist strike against the Chinese working in the nuclear and missile establishments and in the armed forces.
B Raman is additional secretary (retired), Cabinet Secretariat, government of India, and currently director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai, and Distinguished Fellow and Convenor, Observer Research Foundation (ORF), Chennai Chapter. E-mail: corde@vsnl.com.
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