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augieboo

07/13/02 10:57 PM

#3148 RE: sd #3147

SD, I suppose there must be several, if not dozens, of ways in which one could correlate these charts with Zeev's forecasts -- if one had the time, energy, and expertise. So, have fun, and let us all know if you come up with anything really interesting, 'cuz I ain't got a clue! <ggg>

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Zeev Hed

07/13/02 11:34 PM

#3153 RE: sd #3147

If you are really interested in a "map of my calls" in the last two years (till January this year), I researched it earlier this year and summarized it here #reply-16967797. Then you may want to take the Dec. 29th forecast (#reply-16842549) from there on. As you can see all the major bullish entries occurred at peaks in Augie's "new indicators", unfortunately, you never know until the peak is over that a given point was indeed a peak.

By the way, from the Dec 29th, the only on the mark call was the January high, the turnips failed to anticipate how fast the dollar would weaken, the depth of the February decline, and the consequent much lower (by about 300 Naz points) high in mid April and Mid May. Interesting, however that the structure of the cycle was called pretty well. From April 22nd, the Turnips corrected their ways (they got new manure?), and did a pretty good job of seeing the decline into May 7th, jumping in for just a week, and shouting to the Hills on May 15th, with a forecast of a three stages Nassacre which evolved exactly according to plan, except that the timing of the last leg (called for 6/28 plus minus two trading days), once more was probably early by a week or two, the original call for the Nassacre low was actually "at least 1326", so we matched that, but I fear they were too optimistic and right now we may finally get the peak in Augie's indicator, and that could in the next few trading day create the desired bottom (possibly stopping as low as 1296 with an outside chance of a spike (and bounce) another 40 Naz points lower).

Zeev