2 great posts illustrate what we see is happening at Lehman:
Posted by: joshkocses Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2009 8:27:13 PM
In reply to: mb6333 who wrote msg# 6179 Post # of 6191
That is only as predictable as the information we have to predict it with. If we use what I teach my students is an "al-gore-rhythm" we can deduce a time most likely for this rise in PPS to occur. We know that the stock's PPS peaked on September 1st of 2000 to $161.00 and again it spiked to $157.00 on April 1st, of 2006. We know that on September 8th of 2008 this stock was trading at $17.00 a share and that on September 15th Lehman Brothers was trading for a a mere quarter, $0.25cents. So after a ride to $0.05 bottoming out around four cents in December of 2008 we can see three distinct "blips" on the chart. Those "Blips" are the rises and plateaus on January 8, 2009 (ironically Elvis Birthday), April 29, 2009, and again this past August. Those rises are showing a patern of increased confidence. So like predicting a cancer patients death, it's hard, but I would say that most probable, coupled with the fact that recently people are starting to realize that Lehman isn't dead, we will see a rise to September 2008's value in the next three years. Yes, if things keep going, and Captain Bly get's this Lehman Brothers life-boat back to England and before the Queen's Court, then this stock can go to $18.00 a share before the next election. This ship we call Lehman Brothers sailed for over 100 years, and now like castaways there is a rag-tag bunch of rebels cleaning her decks and manning her sails. In fact they are still operating a store front in Wilimington, Delaware and I read an article today. Lehman represents the old-school, the die-hards, and we aren't going to let that ship sink. Lehman Brothers is now a band of modern men (and women) of mercantilian honor. Lehman Brothers stands for more than any CPA or CFO can put to pen on a financial sheet. Lehman Brothers is being owned by those who never could have owned it, by simple Americans like me, and now, now that ship is invincible, because even the paper our government prints its powers on can't break the bond men and women have when they haven't been able to own something for over 100 years and suddenly are in a place and time unseen of before, and owning 10,000's of shares in a company that isn't entire dead or going to die. We're left on board the USS Lehman Brothers staring at the decks of the USS AIG and USS Citibank getting life-support to live. Lehman Brothers is going to live because just like in the last scene of Pretty Woman, where Richard Gear's character breaks his hostile takeover bid and agrees to partner with the Texas tycoon to "build great big ships"...that's what Barrack Obama and John McCain are finally going to lead this nation into doing. Accept this time, the ships are going to Mars.
Joshua
Posted by: joshkocses Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2009 7:56:33 AM
In reply to: VivaLasVegas who wrote msg# 6187 Post # of 6191
Read my past three posts, I don't want to repost them because I don't think we're allowed to repost posts in this posting places website called Ihub, but in short the reason why we are seeing a rise in PPS is like why the doctors kind of wait a few minutes before putting the corps in the morgue, or the term "dead ringer", for when they would put a bell on a string in the cemetary just in case the person they burried "wasn't quite dead yet". So is the case with Lehman Brothers. This ship Lehman Brothers sailed for over 100 years, now she is being run by a skeleton crew. We Lehman shareholders and employees are merely a small bank front in Wilmington, Delaware with a few thousand die-hard investor-risk takers who know that there is more than meets the eye, and that there is no one alive who is as old as what we are talking about. We have a new tool, and we are using it right now to keep Lehman alive the same way any other company in America, in fact America itself has been kept alive, by believing in it. We are an internet posse of folks like us churning up the smoking parlors with nastaligic Lehman Brothers conversaions; everywhere from the Whitehouse to your house where you are reading this now. This company isn't going to die off without a fight, not that quickly, that's what the folks in Chicago want, a quick clean break. Well it ain't happening, and the rise in PPS is proving it. We're not talking about college dorm rooms with kidsd betting their FAFSA checks, we're talking about guys who just lost everything having to really put their heads to the grind stone and stay alive. It's a much different market stragey now a days. Now it's more like war. In this case, Lehman Brothers has something grassroots that other companies and cash itself doesn't have; good will and a name that to this day turns heads. Lehman Brothers will be alive just like Board Walk & Park Place will always be on Monopoly Boards even when Atlantic City is washed away in the next hurricane. Most people don't even know monopoly streets are named after places in New Jersey. Still Lehman Brothers will be the same, and it will live on in the internet with a small store front of umpaloompas and Mr. Wanka running the chocolate factory in Wilmington, Delaware.
Joshua