Over the last 100 years, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the incumbent party has NEVER lost when the D-J Industrial Average rose 3.3% or more in the final month of the campaign. In years when the Dow dipped 0.5% or more in October, the incumbent party has NEVER won. http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=20546330
sorry if already posted and goes in the FWIW column