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Replies to #80724 on Biotech Values
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DewDiligence

07/10/09 7:44 AM

#80725 RE: ghmm #80724

Re: VRTX Seeks to Monetize Telaprevir EU Milestones from JNJ

Any guess on the risk adjusted discount (aside from the NPV discount)?

My guess: VRTX can get a lump-sum payment of $150-175M, i.e. a 30-40% discount that takes into account both the present-value arithmetic and the risk that the milestones won’t be triggered on time (or at all). What do you think?