Replies to post #393 on GenVec Inc (fka GNVC)

[dockside130]

Dew,
I do not share your pessimism. The poster presentation seems impressive to me. The following is from the press release.


The analysis concluded that TNFerade appeared to be safe and well-tolerated. The analysis also indicated a 25% reduction in the risk of death in the TNFerade plus standard-of-care (SOC) arm compared to the patients receiving SOC alone (Hazard Ratio = 0.75; 95% Confidence Interval [0.494 - 1.15]).

Dr. Mark Thornton, GenVec's Senior Vice President of Product Development commented on the poster, noting, "In the SOC patients, 75% of the patients died within approximately 11.8 months. However, in the TNFerade plus SOC group, 75% of the patients did not die until approximately 19.4 months. Although the data still need time and events to reach maturity, we are encouraged by the survival trend being observed at this point in the trial."

Please enlighten me as to why the Hazard Ratio if .75 is bad.
Thanks

[rstar]

the market doesn't always follow a logical schedule.
huge money is flooding the biotechs and riding and creating momentum waves with no concern for the specificities of the fundamentals. i greatly appreciate your insight, but am also just following the money. the volume shows it has come here now.

[io_io]

"and investors will have plenty of time to get in after the second interim if the HR is disclosed and is impressive."


Like, when it's already too late. We will have a 5-bagger by then.


And like DNDN, even after the interim HR was disclosed, DewD predicted failure.

[io_io]

Dew, it would appear that your negativity on GNVC was mis-placed -


< So when's this stock going to blast off? >
------------------------------------------------------------------
"Probably not until after the second interim analysis, which is a long way off."


- to which I previously replied, accurately predicting a 5-bagger before this upcoming interim-analysis:

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=38606681


And have you changed your outlook on GNVC ?