You did not ask about today (g), I think the SOX will do well to close at 380 plus minus 3. (Not a dragon fly). The Naz however should close at 1780 plus minus 5 or so.
So many out there picking bottoms and catching falling knives. Both of those phrases paint less than a pretty picture. However, if you keep trying, sooner or later you will be a genius. I think that that is what drives the "gurus".