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amarksp

08/10/04 8:57 PM

#10419 RE: Frank Pembleton #10418

Where were you...? Thought everybody noticed the whacking on DROOY today... Better click on those model hyperlinks... GFI and HMY both have mine plans to be profitable at under R75,000/kg. DROOY's has more marginal mines that are more at risk, and it appears DROOY under-reserved for mine closure costs compared to GFI/HMY. GFI in particular is able to revise its mine plan to high-grade certain deposits (Saks vs. Walmart strategy they call it...).

DROOY will be back, but it desperately needs R85,000/kg to reach some semblance of profitability (current POG = R78,300/kg). Those large, one-time charges appeared to be totally unexpected, and certainly under-reserved..., hence the DROOY spanking today...