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Hobie1Kenobe

08/10/04 4:14 PM

#282105 RE: Ghetto Fabalis #282103

16:10 CSCO Cisco Systems beats by a penny, ex items, beats on revs (20.46 +0.41)

Reports Q4 (Jul) earnings of $0.21 per share, ex items, $0.01 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.20; revenues rose 26.0% year/year to $5.93 bln vs the $5.89 bln consensus.

16:09 CSCO gross margins of 68.4%; company guidance called for 68-70%

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langostino

08/10/04 5:16 PM

#282142 RE: Ghetto Fabalis #282103

Inventory, inventory, inventory

CSCO DSOs have jumped by 10%. May be benign, may be intentional, may not signal rising inventories at customers who were encouraged to take extra shipments. Then again ....

Right now, the market is completely paranoid about the potential for rising inventories leading to eroding ASPs and margins. And it's gone completely myopic in caring only about what's closest in unfolding. What can't be known is assumed to be eventually resolved with the worst possible hypothetical scenario.