Zeev, supplies of oil and nat gas are limited. Other available options, tar sands, coal, nuclear have long lead times and NIMBY problems. Bio-fuels (ethanol) generate little or no net energy. Photo-voltaic's are high cost. Wind generation is limited. I see nothing on the horizon that can meaningfully increase supply
Energy demand is increasing (China, India) and supply is at best marginally elastic. The only things I see that would decrease demand is higher prices (causing increased efficiency investments) or a global economic crash (too painful to contemplate).
I don't watch the current prices, I look at the long term strip, 5 years out, which is still mid-$30's oil and I wonder what is going to keep prices this low?
I think you should consider trading energy stocks as you do not like to short.
Best wishes to you - Cy