It is called "about to get a huge dose of humility phase" phase:)
The humility occurs after the market takes a turn that lays you flat and wondering if you can get up again.
I am 15% invested in this longterm speculation thus far, and can honestly say that the 15% is from having learned humility.
My binoculars looking at an approaching beasty in the distance i think is a bear, but i am not 100% positive.
If something clicks, and i say by gawd that is a bear, i will go to 50%; but i never go above 50% in what is a highstakes game.