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Neutral Man

04/03/09 8:03 AM

#77564 RE: Neutral Man #77540

Trade Journal for Dummies(Before da-Bell)!

It's a Miracle, our 4cast GAP Up is playing out, Not Exactly, da-Boyz are playing LONGS for FOOLS using RIMM as the Fall-Guy, pun intended, as they sell SHORT Q shares in after hours and pre-market!! This is text-book stuff as day play da-Shorts in after and pre-market hours (the Shorts HAVE to buy or risk Margin-Calls), ONLY to end up GAP-ing down Hard in a reversal of Titanic Proportions, OUCH!

We expect the jobs number to be close to a Million jobs lost and a GAP down to fill the GAP at 30.77, Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeet! I'm Not sure how many Freakin Islands we can Visit without catching sumptin and it's not going be a Fish we catch, LOL!

ObviousLee we'll be taking on CASH and Profits since dat's what we do and we do it often, LOL!! BUT, it's NOT about the Profits dis-TIME as we understand that a -4.0% down day is being planned as I write this post and we LIKE IT!!

Boyz, you are da-Best of da-Best at "Manipulating" price in such a way dat neither Bull nor Bear has a Freeakin Chance and quite Frankly, we're Impressed, LOLOLOLOL!

Our STRONG suggestion for play-ar's today, if you're NOT a seasoned veteran play-ar, then just "Step-Aside-Please" and let us "Pros" show you how to do it, for your own mental-health and your grand-childrens inheritance sake just Walk away today, yep, WALK AWAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Boyz, forgive-em for day KNOW NOT what day do, well, 99.997% of-em dat is, LOL!


Posted last nite with the "Update" post:
Wow, can dare bee anymore Shorts left, not many for sure so we expect a ST Top to complete Friday and then down into 09Apr?

We did get the New YTD High that was needed to confirm more Up after the pull-back!

We start tomorrow with a near neutral bias and will likely play between 31.50 and 32.50?


TODAY's COMPLETED and/or PENDING TRADES:

New trades today:
None

Pending trades(GtC, Good till Cancelled):
None

TRADE HISTORY:

OPEN POSITIONS(Long/Short ratio = 1.1 to 1 Net Long bias)

LONG(controlling 22k shares):
36, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.59 (80), last 1.54, -.40 loss
34, BtO, Apr35 calls at 0.12 (100), last 0.10, -.20 loss
33, StO, Apr35 puts at 3.08 (40), last 3.49, -1.64 loss


SHORT(controlling 20k shares):
29. BtO, Apr33 puts at 2.63 (40), last 1.67, -3.84 loss
26, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.08 (40), last 4.73, -6.60 loss
23, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.02 (40), last 2.18, -4.64 loss
02, BtO, Apr28 puts at 1.87 (40), last 0.15, -6.86 loss
01, BtO, Apr28 puts at 2.91 (40), last 0.15, -11.04 loss


Pending Gain/(Loss)$, (35.22) or -35,220
Commissions$, (1160)
Total cost$, -36,380

CLOSED TRADES:(we've closed 29 trades thru 01Apr)
02Apr(5)
35, StO, Apr31 calls at 1.65 (80), sold fro 1.73, .08 gain, posts as .64
32, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.50 (80), sold for 0.65, .15 gain, posts as .60
11, BtO, Apr34 calls at 0.16 (80), sold for .31, .15 gain, posts as 1.20
18, BtO, Apr32 calls at 0.72 (40), sold for 0.82, .10 gain, posts as .40
19, BtO, Apr29 calls at 2.48 (40), sold for 2.68, .20 gain, posts as .80
01Apr(4)
31, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.90 (40), bought for 1.70, .20 gain, posts as 0.80
30, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.85 (40), bought for 1.70, .15 gain, posts as .60
28, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.20 (40), bought for 1.15, 0.04 gain, posts as .20
27, BtO, Apr32 puts at 1.98 (40), sold for 2.43, 0.45 gain, pots as 1.80
31Mar(0)
None
30Mar(4)
25, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.36 (40), bought for 2.26, .10 gain, posts as .40
24, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.37 (40), bought for 2.27, .10 gain, posts as .40
22, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.21 (40), bought for 3.01, .20 gain, posts as .80
21, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.70 (40), bought for 2.40, .30 gain, posts as 1.20
27Mar(2)
16, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.20 (40), bought for 3.10, .10 gain, post as .40
20, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.80 (40), bought for 1.60, .20 gain, post as .80
26Mar(2)
17, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.90 (40), sold for 2.05, .15 gain, posts as .60
15, BtO, Apr26 calls at 4.86 (40), sold for 5.11, 0.25 gain, posts as 1.00
25Mar(5)
05, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.61 (40), bought for 2.31, .30 gain, post as 1.20
10, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.06 (40), bought for 2.61, .45 gain, posts as 1.80
09, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.05 (40), sold for 1.15, .10 gain, post as .40
13, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.02 (40), bought for 1.72, 0.30 gain, post as 1.20
14, StO, Apr30 puts at 1.07 (40), bought for 0.87, 0.20 gain, post as 0.80
24Mar(2)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (40), sold for 0.38, 0.16 gain, post as .64
12, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.03 (40), bought for 1.83, .20 gain, post as .80
23Mar(5)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (80), sold for 0.42, .20 gain, post as .80
07, StO, Apr33 puts at 2.95 (40), bought for 2.75, .20 gain, post as 0.80
08, BtO, Apr29 calls at 1.91 (40), sold for 2.16, .25 gain, post as 1.00
04, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.25 (80), sold for 1.44, .19 gain, post as 1.52
03, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.95 (40), bought for 1.75, .20 gain, post as .80

Beg Port Balance , $30,000 (inception date 23Feb09)
FebOE gain/(loss), $ 2,100
MarOE gain/(loss), $10,780
AprOE gain/(loss), $ ??,???

Posted gains against 1000 shares, $24.40/1000 shares or $24,400 less commissions (Port starting funds = $42,880, 57.2% posted gains for this OE period).

Daily Gains$:

23Mar- 4.92, 30Mar- 2.80
24Mar- 1.44, 31Mar- 0.00
25Mar- 5.40, 01Apr- 3.40
26Mar- 1.60, 02Apr- 3.64
27Mar- 1.20, 03Apr- ?.??

Wkly Gain/(Loss)$:
Wk1- $14.56, Wk2- $9.84, Wk3- $?.??, Wk4- $?.??
4cast(like TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies), is ONLY for entertainment purposes

We expected prices to be up 12.5% for the week ending 03Apr and clean da-Shorts clock, OUCH!?


Revised before da-BELL TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Date Open High Low Close
27-Mar 31.07 31.18 30.71 30.82
30-Mar 30.29 30.32 29.62 30.06
31-Mar 30.33 30.95 30.27 30.32
1-Apr 29.94 30.88 29.79 30.77
2-Apr 31.34 32.27 31.23 31.76
4acst
3-Apr 30.72 31.72 29.72 30.16


YTD OE Stuff:
Pivot, 29.86, (closed 19Dec08)
High, 32.27, up 8.1% (posted 10Feb, new YTD High 02Apr)
Low, 25.63, dn -14.2% (posted 09Mar)
Close, 31.76, up 6.4%
Range, 6.64
PM, 22.3%


R8, 41.8, 40%
R7, 40.31, 35%
R6, 38.82, 30%
R5, 37.33, 25%
R4, 35.83, 20%
R3, 34.34, 15%
R2, 32.85, 10%

Closed, 31.76 up 6.4%, Above the OE Pivot and the YTD Pivot, VERY BULLISH!

R1, 31.35, 5% with the YTD High being at 31.68 we expect dis-Puppy to be breached SOON!

YTD Pivot, 29.86, 0.0%, a breach and close above this pivot will cause serious upside action?.
AprOE Pivot, 29.18, close on 20Mar

S1, 28.37, -5%
S2, 26.87, -10%
S3, 25.38, -15%
S4, 23.89, -20%
S5, 22.4, -25%
S6, 20.9, -30%
S7, 19.41, -35%
S8, 17.92, -40%
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Neutral Man

04/04/09 7:04 AM

#77639 RE: Neutral Man #77540

Trade Journal for Dummies(Update)!

And what a week and Four weeks it has been, up 5.0% for the week and up 26.4% since the YTD low posted on 09Mar. I know it’s pretty much impossible to accept it but we’re going higher folks, MUCH higher!

Here’s the implications for da-Bears, we got down to a -14.2% for the Year with the 25.63 posting, that’s down -14.2% from the YTD Pivot, 29.86, hence, we should expect at least a +14.2% up move.

We can do what Other TA, Chart, Fibs or Lies play-ar’s can Not do, we have a static YEAR-lee Pivot, 29.86, that we can use to extrapolate future price, howz dat for “Inside Information”, who are we and why are we here, to DUP da-Boyz, what Else, LOL!

Using our proprietary system we can prognosticate, with authority, and we LIKE IT! We simply take 29.86 x 1.142 and we get our expected upmove completion number, 34.10, how freakin sweet is dat!? Btw… dat’s a 33% up move off the 25.63 low and well within the confines of Bear-Market rallies and maybe even selling ourselves short, pun intended, if this is sumptin bigger like a New Bull Market launching, huhh, Get a Grip on yourself, NOT!!?

But wait, dare’s MORE, LOL, if our extrapolations are of a meaningful nature, well, then we can also expect the 29.86 to HOLD on any pull-back!? Obvious-lee a move back down to 29.86 will be a -7.5% move, but more importantly is that a move from 29.86 up to 34.10 will be a 14.2% up move and we gonna be dare to extract coins from da-Boyz as they Rape-n-Pillage more 401k, Investment, and Ole Ladies/Widow-r’s Pension funds, Sweeeeeeeet!

Let’s recap because dis is Big Stuff here Campers, we have in our possession, the actual Targets for BOTH a pull-back AND continuation up, dis is BIG Stuff and we MUST recognize the significance of their prognosticating powers!

That said, do NOT get all Gidy and stop sleeping at night as you consider what you’re gonna do with all the Coins your gonna extract knowing dis-stuff, oh boy, sighhhh! Instead, devise a plan of meaning and “stick to it”!!

In other words, a disciplined, taking on CASH and Profits, approach will take you dare, well, if you dare go where MANY play-ar’s have gone before you and gotten dare Coins taken away dat is, LOLOLOLOL!

TODAY's COMPLETED and/or PENDING TRADES:

New trades today:
None

Pending trades(GtC, Good till Cancelled):
None

TRADE HISTORY:

OPEN POSITIONS(Long/Short ratio = 1.11 to 1 Net Short bias)

LONG(controlling 18k shares):
38. BtO, Apr32 calls at 0.98 (80), last 1.14, 1.28 gain
34, BtO, Apr35 calls at 0.12 (100), last 0.13, 0.10 gain


SHORT(controlling 20k shares):
29. BtO, Apr33 puts at 2.63 (40), last 1.24, -5.56 loss
26, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.08 (40), last 5.23, -8.60 loss
23, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.02 (40), last 2.56, -6.16 loss
02, BtO, Apr28 puts at 1.87 (40), last 0.09, -7.12 loss
01, BtO, Apr28 puts at 2.91 (40), last 0.09, -11.28 loss


Pending Gain/(Loss)$, (37.34) or -37,340
Commissions$, (1280)
Total cost$, -38,620

CLOSED TRADES:(we've closed 32 trades thru 01Apr)
03Apr(3)
33, StO, Apr35 puts at 3.08 (40), bought for 2.93, .15 gain, posts as .60
37, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.48 (40), sold for 1.68, .20 gain, posts as .80
36, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.59 (80), sold for 1.69, .10 gain, posts as .80
02Apr(5)
35, StO, Apr31 calls at 1.65 (80), sold fro 1.73, .08 gain, posts as .64
32, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.50 (80), sold for 0.65, .15 gain, posts as .60
11, BtO, Apr34 calls at 0.16 (80), sold for .31, .15 gain, posts as 1.20
18, BtO, Apr32 calls at 0.72 (40), sold for 0.82, .10 gain, posts as .40
19, BtO, Apr29 calls at 2.48 (40), sold for 2.68, .20 gain, posts as .80
01Apr(4)
31, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.90 (40), bought for 1.70, .20 gain, posts as 0.80
30, StO, Apr32 puts at 1.85 (40), bought for 1.70, .15 gain, posts as .60
28, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.20 (40), bought for 1.15, 0.04 gain, posts as .20
27, BtO, Apr32 puts at 1.98 (40), sold for 2.43, 0.45 gain, pots as 1.80
31Mar(0)
None
30Mar(4)
25, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.36 (40), bought for 2.26, .10 gain, posts as .40
24, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.37 (40), bought for 2.27, .10 gain, posts as .40
22, StO, Apr27 calls at 3.21 (40), bought for 3.01, .20 gain, posts as .80
21, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.70 (40), bought for 2.40, .30 gain, posts as 1.20
27Mar(2)
16, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.20 (40), bought for 3.10, .10 gain, post as .40
20, StO, Apr30 calls at 1.80 (40), bought for 1.60, .20 gain, post as .80
26Mar(2)
17, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.90 (40), sold for 2.05, .15 gain, posts as .60
15, BtO, Apr26 calls at 4.86 (40), sold for 5.11, 0.25 gain, posts as 1.00
25Mar(5)
05, StO, Apr28 calls at 2.61 (40), bought for 2.31, .30 gain, post as 1.20
10, StO, Apr28 calls at 3.06 (40), bought for 2.61, .45 gain, posts as 1.80
09, BtO, Apr31 calls at 1.05 (40), sold for 1.15, .10 gain, post as .40
13, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.02 (40), bought for 1.72, 0.30 gain, post as 1.20
14, StO, Apr30 puts at 1.07 (40), bought for 0.87, 0.20 gain, post as 0.80
24Mar(2)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (40), sold for 0.38, 0.16 gain, post as .64
12, StO, Apr32 puts at 2.03 (40), bought for 1.83, .20 gain, post as .80
23Mar(5)
06, BtO, Apr33 calls at 0.22 (80), sold for 0.42, .20 gain, post as .80
07, StO, Apr33 puts at 2.95 (40), bought for 2.75, .20 gain, post as 0.80
08, BtO, Apr29 calls at 1.91 (40), sold for 2.16, .25 gain, post as 1.00
04, BtO, Apr30 calls at 1.25 (80), sold for 1.44, .19 gain, post as 1.52
03, StO, Apr31 puts at 1.95 (40), bought for 1.75, .20 gain, post as .80

Beg Port Balance , $30,000 (inception date 23Feb09)
FebOE gain/(loss), $ 2,100
MarOE gain/(loss), $10,780
AprOE gain/(loss), $ ??,???

Posted gains against 1000 shares, $26.60/1000 shares or $26,600 less commissions (Port starting funds = $42,880, 62.0% posted gains for this OE period).

Daily Gains$:

23Mar- 4.92, 30Mar- 2.80, 06Apr- ?.??
24Mar- 1.44, 31Mar- 0.00
25Mar- 5.40, 01Apr- 3.40
26Mar- 1.60, 02Apr- 3.64
27Mar- 1.20, 03Apr- 2.20

Wkly Gain/(Loss)$:
Wk1- $14.56, Wk2- $12.04, Wk3- $?.??, Wk4- $?.??

4cast(like TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies), is ONLY for entertainment purposes

We expected prices to be up 12.5% for the week ending 03Apr and clean da-Shorts clock, instead the Q’s ended up 5.0%, still cleaned some Shorts Clocks I suspect!

Date Open High Low Close
3-Apr 32.11 32.40 31.83 32.35
4cast
6-Apr 32.75 32.85 31.58 31.80


YTD OE Stuff:
Pivot, 29.86, (closed 19Dec08)
High, 32.40, up 8.5% (New High 03Apr, last YTD High 02Apr)
Low, 25.63, dn -14.2% (posted 09Mar)
Close, 32.35, up 8.3%
Range, 6.77
PM, 22.7%


R8, 41.8, 40%
R7, 40.31, 35%
R6, 38.82, 30%
R5, 37.33, 25%
R4, 35.83, 20%
R3, 34.34, 15%
R2, 32.85, 10%, Could tag dis-Puppy on Monday on a Exhaustion Gap Up?

Closed, 32.35 up 8.3%, Above the OE Pivot and the YTD Pivot, VERY BULLISH!

R1, 31.35, 5% with the YTD High being at 31.68 we expect dis-Puppy to be breached SOON!

YTD Pivot, 29.86, 0.0%, a breach and close above this pivot will cause serious upside action?.
AprOE Pivot, 29.18, close on 20Mar

S1, 28.37, -5%
S2, 26.87, -10%
S3, 25.38, -15%
S4, 23.89, -20%
S5, 22.4, -25%
S6, 20.9, -30%
S7, 19.41, -35%
S8, 17.92, -40%