Replies to post #73225 on Biotech Values

[DewDiligence]

Good suggestion—I’ll change the IDEV entry as you suggested to reflect an estimated value of the contingent payments. Although there are other deals in the table with contingent payments, no other deal in the table has a contingency that is as material to the overall deal value as it is in the IDEV deal.

[DewDiligence]

Recent Biotech Buyouts

[Adjusted IDEV premium to reflect estimated value of contingent payments.]

 
 Acquired         Premium    Deal         iHub  
 Company  Buyer   to Market  Value  Date  Reference  
 GNLB     GSK       465%     $57M  10/08  #msg-33209281 
 MEMY     Roche     319%     $50M  11/08  #msg-33787598 
 KOSN     BMY       233%     $190M  5/08  #msg-29647147 
 COLY     PFE       167%     $165M 11/07  #msg-24600805 
 NTMD     Deerfield 158%‡‡‡  $36M   1/09  #msg-35132470 
 EYE      ABT       149%   **$2.8B  1/09  #msg-34762429 
 IOMI     Intercell 147%     $190M  5/08  #msg-29232165 
 BTRX     Stiefel   136%     $150M  6/08  #msg-30201906 
 Tepnel   GPRO      126%     $132M  1/09  #msg-35221710 
 SGXP     LLY       119%     $64M   7/08  #msg-30547648 
 ENCY     PFE       118%     $350M  2/08  #msg-26978155 
 TRCA     Ipsen     104%     $660M  6/08  #msg-29795183  
 CRY.to   MDT        97%     $380M  9/08  #msg-32421462 
 Speedel  NVS        94%     $880M  7/08  #msg-30588524 
 MNT      JNJ        92%     $1.1B 11/08  #msg-33879830 
 SIRT     GSK        85%     $620M  4/08  #msg-28705020  
 IDEV     ENDP     *†74%   *†$370M  1/09  #msg-34592416 
 TARG     MDCO    ***72%     $42M   1/09  #msg-34774402 
 Ventana  Roche      72%     $3.4B  1/08  #msg-30912677 
 Jerini   Shire     *71%     $520M  7/08  #msg-30452872 
 Acambis  SNY        64%     $550M  7/08  #msg-30990498 
 SCRX     Shionogi   61%     $1.4B  9/08  #msg-31859174 
 ALO      KG       ‡†54%     $1.6B 11/08  #msg-33763449 
 MEDI     AZN      ‡‡53%     $15.2B 4/07  #msg-19020387 
 MLNM     Takeda     53%     $8.8B  4/08  #msg-28365383 
 PCOP     LGND    ***52%     $75M   9/08  #msg-32404474 
 OMRI     JNJ      ‡*51%     $465M 11/08  #msg-33762745 
 IMCL     LLY     †††51%     $6.5B 10/08  #msg-32662830 
 LEVP     VPHM     ††49%     $440M  7/08  #msg-30704409 
 PHRM     CELG       46%     $2.9B 11/07  #msg-24645394      
 BRL      TEVA       42%   **$9.0B  7/08  #msg-30792830 
 MOGN     Eisai      39%     $3.9B 12/07  #msg-25163775  
 CGPI     Galderma   30%     $420M  2/08  #msg-28286522 
 WYE      PFE        29%     $68B   1/09  #msg-35077617 
 APPX     Fresenius †29%     $940M  7/08  #msg-30498388 
 Zentiva  SNY      ‡‡26%     $2.6B  9/08  #msg-32327005 
 ARI.to   Roche     ‡15%     $190M  7/08  #msg-30904056 
 PGLA     Avexa       ®         ®  12/08  #msg-34341452   
 NUVO     ARCA        ®         ®   9/08  #msg-32420015 
 NOVC     Transcept   ®         ®   9/08  #msg-31869987 
  
 ®Reverse merger with private or non-US company.  
  
 ‡Number is misleading inasmuch as Arius announced in 
 May 2008 that it was pursued by an unnamed suitor. 
  
 ‡‡Premium relative to commencement of bidding. 
  
 ‡‡‡To be liquidated by Deerfield following failed merger with 
 Archemix; premium relative to 11/18/08 date of Archemix deal. 
  
 ‡†Based on closing price 8/21/08, the day 
 before KG announced initial buyout offer. 
  
 ‡*Based on 11/20/08 close. 
  
 †Premium reaches 63% if earn-out met. 
  
 ††Premium reaches 103% if earn-out met; 
  
 †††Premium relative to 7/30/08 close, the 
 day before BMY announced first buyout offer. 
  
 *199% premium to volume-weighted 
 price during preceding 3 months. 
  
 **Deal value includes assumption of debt. 
  
 ***Premium and deal value exclude contingent payouts. 
  
 *†Premium includes estimated value of contingent 
 payouts, but listed deal value excludes them.