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Gizmo

12/18/08 9:13 AM

#137481 RE: teaparty #137480

Interesting TP and regarding Spx. I have a similar view, up and down but going higher. 1100-1200 is where I think the tops will be made. Historically the Spx has bottomed when the yield is 6% and p/e 9-10 which would put it in the 500's.

Swenlin has good charts on valuation near bottom of page.

http://www.decisionpoint.com/TAC/SWENLIN.html

In my view the 90's were ridiculous in the way we overvalued stocks and it could take another ten years of consolidation before the next secular bull.
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ajtj99

12/18/08 9:15 AM

#137482 RE: teaparty #137480

Nice GS monthly chart. I hadn't seen that "mirror" formation before. It fits nicely with my expectations going forward.