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JTJ

10/28/08 7:55 PM

#2341 RE: Joe Kernan #2340

Hi Joe,

funny you should mention AUY and SLW because up until today I owned 5000 of each. AUY I am still very high on and still own the 5000 shares. They mine primarily GOLD so less of an industrial metal and more of a hedge against inflation.

However, yesterday I called up and spoke to a representative for SLW. They have earnings coming up shortly so I wanted to get a feel for where they stood. The fellow told me that Silver WHeaton has a heavy debt load and if silver stayed at $9, that by the middle of 2009, they would have problems servicing the debt and would have to take some action. Also he said that this debt situation would be discussed when earnings are released and that "guidance" would be given... Hearing this was enough to make me sell my shares.

I am also considering picking up some shares of unhedged with zero debt IAMGOLD (even pays a small dividend). Here's how I'll do it. You can sell November 2.50 puts for between .25-.30 and thus you will either make over 10% in less than a month or own IAG for a net of $2.20-2.25! Of course, only do this if you want to own the shares because there's a decent chance that you will get assigned in this market. IAMGOLD is currently at 2.71 so if it closes below $2.50 on the third Friday in November, you will get assigned and own the shares...


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electrius

10/28/08 10:59 PM

#2346 RE: Joe Kernan #2340

Joe,

What do you mean by gold stocks holding steady? I have a couple of gold focused mutual funds (thank God they do not hold TAOL) and they have been crushed lately. I also own AUY and it is down over 20% in about a week, off a high of about $20 last spring. Seems like it wasn't long ago that IAG was over $8.

If gold stocks being "steady" means that they all suck, then you got it right buddy. Maybe it's a buy sign because it seems inconceiveable that it could suck any more.

I hope you are right about gold roaring back, but that line was also flying around when Yamana was $19 and gold was well over $900. Yeah, gold was going to $2000 and AUY was going to $40. Gold miners and physical golds are rarely sure things.
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stockmeiser

10/28/08 11:55 PM

#2349 RE: Joe Kernan #2340

You never know this could be the next gspg.