Replies to post #596746 on Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[basserdan]

>>>awesome view...Looks like an assembly line coming from Africa on that world view. Could be a rough September, which is the historical peak month for Hurricanes.<<<

Did you notice that large 'white' area at the extreme left border between the 9 and 10 o'clock positions? That's Hurricane Gustave over Hispaniola (mostly Haiti) where it's currently getting broken down to a TS by the 10,000' mountains that are located there.

It already seems like a very long season to me here in Pinellas County. <ng>



Figure 1. Average Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm activity through the year. Typically, only about 10% of a season's activity occurs by August 8.

Summary: expect a very active year
While I doubt we'll see anything like 2005's record hurricane season this year, I do think that the very active July we had portends that 2008 will be one of the twenty most active hurricane seasons on record. I expect four major hurricanes, with at least one of these hitting the U.S. The fact that the tropics are very quiet at present is the proverbial "calm before the storm". As seen in Figure 1, hurricane season activity takes a big jump around August 18, and I expect the Atlantic will start getting very active around that date.



Dan