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horselover45

08/08/08 12:08 PM

#19736 RE: atheroprevent #19735

Just trying to think ahead a couple of moves,

Maybe I'm wrong but I think that Dr. Varney will have some good thoughts in the near future.
I don't think that Dr. Stoll wants all the credit and the new CEO will come out running.

Andy C.
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neuroinv

08/08/08 12:13 PM

#19737 RE: atheroprevent #19735

Stoll made overt what was has been increasingly clear: Low-impacts are for psychiatric (schizophrenia, ADHD, depression though he didnt mention it) disorders plus RD: Neurodegenerative disorders like AD, PD, HD will be the province of high-impacts. The AD PET trial was an attempt to get another 'shot on goal' cheaply, but ADHD emerged from that trio (AD, sleep dep, ADHD) as a major target. The AD PET study with CX717 would be pretty much irrelevant.

$14 million as of the end of 1Q. Nine months at $1.2 million per month is $10.8 million. That would leave $3.2 million, though the burn may increase somewhat (between 500K and a million is my guess) with the completion of tox studies etc for CX717 IV.

RD is their quickest route to the most partnering money. It's not a fast regulatory pathway for a company with this level of funding, it's not something they can take on themselves. A RD partnership is their best alternative to another dreary financing. Another financing is certainly possible if we reach December without a deal imminent, and I would expect them to raise money in early 2009 after a successful RD deal. But raising money at 4.00-5.00 per share is a whole lot different than at current price levels. A more comprehensive deal(s) covering RD plus either psychiatric/low-impact or neurological/high-impact areas,producing some sort of joint venture, is another possibility.



NeuroInvestment