News Focus
News Focus
icon url

NYBob

06/20/08 10:25 AM

#440 RE: mick #439

Gold May Rise to $5,000 on Inflation, Schroder Says
By Bei Hu

June 19 (Bloomberg) -- Gold prices may rise to $5,000 an ounce as investors seek to protect themselves against accelerating inflation, said Schroder Investment Management Ltd., which oversees $277 billion of assets globally.

''You could easily see for the next several years that prices rise not to $1,000 an ounce, but prices rise to $5,000 an ounce or beyond as inflation psychology becomes more and more embedded and people become desperate to have a source of value,'' said Christopher Wyke, London-based emerging market debt and commodities product manager at Schroder, which oversees about $10 billion of commodity assets.

Investors are turning to gold for protection as two-thirds of the world's population cope with inflation rates that are climbing to more than 10 percent, Wyke said. Cash and inflation-linked bonds are poor substitutes as low interest rates, coupled with surging inflation, erode the real value of assets, he said.

Bullion for immediate delivery was down 0.2 percent at $892.48 an ounce at 9:57 a.m. in Singapore, after gaining 3 percent in the past four days. Wyke didn't give a time frame for his gold prediction.

Demand for gold will also rise as central banks become net buyers for the first time in 20 years, driven by developing countries, he added. Last year, world production of gold sank to the lowest since 1937 as reserves are depleted and few new sources of gold have been found.

God Bless
icon url

NYBob

06/20/08 10:28 AM

#441 RE: mick #439

Schroder Investment Management Says Gold to $5000 per Ounce. Is it Probable?
19 June 2008


Another surprising announcement from a 'name' financial management firm that ought to be in a position to have an informed opinion arrived on the news. Yesterday both Morgan Stanley and the Royal Bank of Scotland forecast a meltdown in financial assets, and today Schroder Investment Management posits the shocking target of $5000 per ounce for gold.

Obviously we cannot address this type of a forecast, or even intelligently surmise if Schroder is basing this on a realistic extrapolation from the course of the financial crisis, or is just talking their book, in the same way some were forecasting Dow 36,000.

We do believe strongly that at some point the ratio between the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the price of gold in dollars/ounce will be "2" and perhaps closer to "1" but cannot say if this will occur at 2,000, 4,000 or 5,000.

What we are also convinced of is that at some point the train will leave the station, the boat will leave the dock, and if you are not on it before it leaves finding a place of any substance will not be easy, and may not even be possible for some time.

Consider the question, how many fiat currencies have lasted for more than 100 years before being replaced and devalued because of the ravages of inflation?

Let's hope we do not see this, as it will represent a significant deterioration in the purchasing power of the dollar and the pound and probably a few other currencies. But given the other forecasts of the past few days, and the outrageous actions of the Federal Reserve in corrupting their base assets, we are not as surprised or skeptical of this forecast as we might have been only a month or so ago.

God Bless
icon url

NYBob

06/24/08 12:25 AM

#442 RE: mick #439

This is what may well be happening with both gold and silver
right now.
Currently gold is trading between the 2nd and 3rd fanlines of
the pattern that portends an eventual upside breakout.
Although the fanlines and falling 50-day moving average are
clearly shepherding the price lower, the strong underlying
support and rising 200 and 300-day moving averages not far
beneath are expected to result in the long-term uptrend
reasserting itself in due course, leading to an upside breakout
and a major new uptrend.
We had earlier classified the reaction from March as a bullish
Falling Wedge, and this interpretation remains valid as the
Wedge exists simultaneously with the Fan Correction, the price
having broken out upside from the Wedge in the middle of May,
and then reacted back close to the top line of the Wedge, which
happens to be the 2nd fanline at the same time.





http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article5167.html

God Bless