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pegwatcher

03/14/08 11:39 PM

#32567 RE: arjunah #32566

No doubt whatsoever. eom
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frankp3

03/15/08 11:17 AM

#32571 RE: arjunah #32566

I think FED over action causes as much panic as the banking situation. The talking heads contine to say all is well and then bam, the FED steps in to save some body from something.
What do they know that the TH and I dont. Or could it be that "they" all know and have been heading for the exits all along. Just look at the money made on shorts of BSC. Someone knew!

IMO the SHHTF and the fall out is yet to come.
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airedale88

03/17/08 5:26 PM

#32631 RE: arjunah #32566

arjunah...........
"I have attributed the Fed's repeated intervention for extending the current nominal 4.5Y cycle to 5 years".........

Hurst..."fundamental factors do influence price. they do so by interacting with cyclic phenomena, generally causing changes in wave amplitude, wave(cycle) periods and phases are unaffected, thus transaction timing is not deranged by fundamental considerations"..........

there have been many fed interventions in the past, none seeming to cause cycle periods to change. recent times have seen multiple fed moves as a reaction to the growing enormity of the credit crisis and we've seen high amplitude swings even in short cycles. why would a fundamental event that in the past has not caused cycle period to lengthen now cause it to?