MarOE Stuff?
Game ON and da-Shorts are still in Denial, Oh Boy, da-Boyz got-em playing along in fine fashion, da-Shorts dat is, LOL!?
Can you imagine how difficult it’s gonna be for da-Shorts to accept a missed opportunity to exit at an AWESOME ST Bottom, OUCH!?
We expect and Should get a GAP up in da-Morning as da-Boyz take it to da-Shorts once again. We’ll be using this up action to Un-Wind Mega Long plays and take on Unbelievable Cash Profits!
We had a great day today as we posted $4.80 in daily gains and increased our OE posted gains to $42.16 and with over two weeks remaining this could far exceed 40% gains as we extract Coins from da-Boyz!
We ended the day very near a Net Neutral bias controlling 64k shares short and 72k shares long. Tomorrow portends absolutely Obscene Profits being posted as we Un-wind our Long positions. We expect to configure a Short bias as prices rise and at the Bell on Thursday we’ll be sporting a Serious Short bias!?
Prices should tag the OE Pivot, 43.82, and may even extend to the R1, 44.37, before settling back to close very near if not exactly at 43.82, WooHoo!?
We look forward to some exciting price movements as da-Shorts begin to realize the Jacuzzi is actually getting up to Cooking Temperature and they be looking like the MAIN MEAL, LOL!?
Btw ALL, there are MANY Prognosticators and Everyone has an opinion, good for them! But we be here to make YOU Money and could care less about being Right or Wrong, as a matter of fact, we be wrong plenty of times but being able to ascertain said "Wrong-ness" is our specialty, and being able to hedge said probable "Wrong" outcome is in our Charter! Therefore we go forward every day posting our trades in Real time, many times in advance using price triggers, then add-em up each day, then tallying the Final Numbers to confess for ALL to see the Good , da-Bad, and da-Ugly!
OE Pivot, 43.82, close on 15Feb
High, 44.53, up 1.6%, new high, 28Feb
Low, 42.02, dn -4.1%, new low 04Mar
Close, 43.12, dn -1.6% (closed above the S2, 42.72, and portends higher prices)
Spread, 2.51
PM, 5.8%
We start today with the following Open OE Port positions:
Short positions (expecting the Q’s to go Down), controlling 64k shares
Mar41 puts at 0.625, (240 contracts), bought long
Mar42 puts at 0.63, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar43 puts at 0.87, (40 contracts), bought long
Mar45 puts as 2.18 (80 contracts), bought long
Nar46 puts at 2.92 (40 contracts), bought long
Mar41 calls at 1.87, (160 contracts), sold short
Long positions (expecting the Q’s to go Up), controlling 72k shares
Mar40 calls at 3.22, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar42 calls at 1.71, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar43 calls at 1.29, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar44 calls at 0.54, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar45 calls at 0.78, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar46 calls at 0.43, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar47 calls at 0.14, (80 contracts), bought long
Mar44 puts at 1.00, (80 contracts), sold short
Mar47 puts at 3.89, (80 contracts), sold short
This gives us a Slight Long da-Q's bias going into today and we'll use said Bias to play intraday plays to protect our Core positions and to post gains in an effort to minimize our pending losses on Open Positions.
These intraday plays are strategic in nature and will help us post profits that will off-set our losses incurred during this OE period as we HOLD Core positions indefinitely (see below side notes, Pending Gains/Loses)!
DCB (Dead Cat Bounce or NOT)
It appears we’re in the ninth inning in regard to completed a ST Bottom but it has been Five weeks since the first YTD low was posted and very trying for most TA, Chart, Fibs & Lies players! We expected a false break-down that would get Most Shorts ALL-IN and most Longs ALL-OUT and it appears that happened! This scenario is a recipe da-Boyz love to exploit, YOU GO BOYZ!
We posted Awesome gains yesterday as we traded in and/or out of puts and/or calls intraday and unloaded core positions to post some daily profits. Hence our MarOE profits increased by $4.80 to $42.16 as we started the day with $37.36 in profits!
These posted profits are impressive but don’t forget we have many wounded soldiers still on the battlefield (pawns, bishops, and Knights) bleeding RED numbers everywhere, especially as we get closer to the OE and the delta shrinks up into a wie, sorry Michelle, small amount, see “Pending Gains/Losses” below!
Those gains are actually quite good since most of our gains usually come a couple weeks into the OE period. Mostly just positioning our pawns, bishops, and knights during the first couple weeks so it’s a bonus to post modest profits already!
Btw…if you don’t play Chess then I suggest you STOP trading immediately and go learn da-Game, da-Chess game dat is! But don’t stop dare, stay away until you can actually BEAT someone at Chess. Otherwise, as most players who read to learn vs. actual experience, you’ll have learned just enough to lose your SorryAsskie life Savings, Get-it, Got-it, GOOD!
Side note (Pending Gains/-Losses):
These gains/losses will post when positions are removed and/or expire!
Pending -Loss(s)
Mar41 calls (160) at 1.87- 2.52 = -0.65 x 16 = $-10.04
Mar43 calls (70) at 1.29 – 1.10 = -0.19 x 8 = $-1.52
Mar45 calls (80) at 0.76 – 0.29 = -0.47 x 8 = $-3.76
Mar46 calls (80) at 0.43 – 0.10 = -0.33 x 8 = $-2.64
Mar47 calls (80) at 0.14 – 0.00 = -0.14 x 8 = $-1.12
Mar41 puts (240) at 0.625 – 0.30 = -0.325 x 8 = $-7.80
Mar42 puts (80) at 0.63 - 0.52 = -0.11 x 8 = $ -0.88
Mar43 puts (40) at 0.87- 0.86 = -0.01 x 4 = $ -0.04
Mar44 puts (80) at 1.00 – 1.40 = -0.40 x 8 = $-3.20
Mar45 puts (80) at 2.18-2.09 = -0.09 x 8 = $- 0.72
Mar46 puts (40) at 2.92-2.91 = -0.01 x 4 = $- 0.04
Pending Gain(s)
Mar40 calls (80) at 3.22-3.31 = 0.09 x 8 = $ 0.72
Mar42 calls (80) at 1.71 – 1.76 = -0.05 x 8 = $ 0.40
Mar44 calls (80) at 0.54 – 0.61 = -0.07 x 8 = $ 0.52
Mar47 puts (80) at 3.89 – 3.87 = -0.02 x 8 = $ 0.16
Net gain/-loss pending for above open positions at the close = $-30.32
This pending gain/-loss(s) is dependent on our ability to navigate this OE period with the utmost precision in regard to da-Boyz! Not to worry, we suspect da-OEPM factor will shed some light on da-Boyz and their Footprints of meaning (True intentions), LOL!?
Gain/-Loss History:
JanOE, $10.40 (up 20.2%, $10.40 into 51.85 = 20.2%)
FebOE, $18.28 (up 40.3%, $18.28 into 45.35 = 40.3%) ($36.50 in gains less $18.22 in losses)
MarOE, $11.84 ($42.16 in gains less $-30.32 in Open position losses)
For your viewing pleasure da-OEPM 4cast-r says.....?
Date Open High Low Close
29-Feb 43.65 43.77 42.85 42.95
3-Mar 42.93 42.99 42.24 42.67
4-Mar 42.41 43.04 42.02 42.91
5-Mar 42.99 43.54 42.75 43.12
4cast
6-Mar 43.58 44.01 43.34 43.82
And in da-Spirit of da-Boyz club and their House rules, we remain committed to being BOTH Long and Short at the same time so as to be READY and ABLE to meet-em at whichever lines they decide suits their fancy and at a time and/or day of their choosing (Ohhhhh BOYYYYOYZ, come, and, GET US, LOL)!?
In summary, YOU GO BOYZ and do your thing, but remember this, we got your Back, Front, and any other side you choose to expose as you paint dem dare pictures, I guess Boyz will be Boyz now won’t They, LOL!?
Good trades ALL,
nm
BONUS OE STUFF, Remember – the CLOSING price tells ALL in regard the OEPM factor!
R8, 48.2, 10%
R7, 47.65, 8.75%
R6, 47.11, 7.5%
R5, 46.56, 6.25%
R4, 46.01, 5%, Serious Resistance and a GO Short level if tagged!
R3, 45.46, 3.75%
R2, 44.92, 2.5%, Our Primary Target for the wk of 01Mar!
R1, 44.37, 1.25%, breached 26Feb intraday.
Pivot, 43.82, 0.0%
S1, 43.27, -1.25%, Already tagged intraday 19Feb, Whatda!
S2, 42.72, -2.5%, Our Primary Target for the wk of 23Feb, Yep – Tagged 22Feb!
S3, 42.18, -3.75%, tagged 04Mar, and portends a move to the S4, 41.63 before 20Mar?
S4, 41.63, -5%, Serious Support and a GO Long level if tagged!
S5, 41.08, -6.25%
S6, 40.53, -7.5%
S7, 39.99, -8.75%
S8, 39.44, -10%
Most importantly, ARE you having FUN YET, I know I am!
FYI - we post EVERY trade in real time and in many cases post pre-trade sell and buy orders with trigger prices in anticipation of our 4cast! So ENJOY da-Show as we rat out da-Boyz club and have a little FUN while we're at it (I hope da-Boyz don't read dis-post otherwise they'll be GUN-ing for us - AGAIN, LOL!
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