Replies to post #9486 on Ariel Way, Inc. (fka AWYI)

[marianothis]

Hannover,
Outside of CJ I would be the happiest with your 50 cent projection being reached. I'm pulling for you, lol.
regards longs, buddy

[911GT3RS]

I can see .05 but not .5

...sorry but se la vie

[cguy]

Here is my .50 support theory part one. Hope this helps Hannover prediction.

Income ÷ OS = EPS
$7,500,000 ÷ 595,000,000 shares = EPS
.0126 = EPS

Now let’s multiply that EPS by a PE Ratio to get a share price. Within the Yahoo link below, AWYI Trades within the Services Sector within the Consumer Services Industry. The Price to Earnings growth rate (PE Ratio) for which the Industry in AWYI trades is at 41.10 as of 28 Jan 08.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/763conameu.html

This means that with AWYI having an EPS of .0126 per share and trading within the Consumer Services Industry within the market, it should fundamentally be trading at the PE Calculation below:

41.10 Consumer Services Industry PE Ratio x .0126 EPS = .5178 per share

This means that as we sit and wait for those acquisitions to close for AWYI, we should be fundamentally sitting at a share price of .5178 per share. The information within this post is “actual” and “factual” information that was not created by me. That information was from the company’s filings and legitimate links for stocks supported by Edgar.yet another interesting viewpoint

I modified the original post from stervc to reflect the new revenue.





"Posted by: stervc
In reply to: None Date:1/31/2008 2:27:30 AM
Post #of 9290

Some AWYI Key Considerations…

The first thing you have to consider when first researching AWYI is to consider that it is a fully reporting OTCBB stock that files on a regular basis.

Next, consider that the now CEO of AWYI is Arne Dunhem. Bottom line, for those who are not familiar with him or remember the run that MOBL had, he was the CEO that was responsible for MOBL going from .002 to .40 per share. That’s verified in the 10K link below too.

http://knobias.tenkwizard.com/filing.php?repo=tenk&ipage=5387523&doc=1&total=&back=2&g=&attach=on
The net income for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2007 was $599,491 compared to a net loss of ($3,069,411) for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2006.

(this math is a little off but we get the gist)

That’s a difference in gain of… $3,069,411 - $599,491 = $2,469,920

We’ll come back to that later, but for now, the beauty about AWYI that I think people have not realized yet, as is apparent because of where it is trading, AWYI has “actual” valuation versus “potential” valuation versus what we see in many of these other companies.

Somewhere in the area of 97% of all penny stocks are losing money. With AWYI, they are making money and is profitable without any of their acquisitions being acquired yet. Also, the CEO has not taken salary in 3 years going on 4 years. This is a huge show of confidence in where he believes the direction of AWYI to be heading.

We don’t have to speculate about them having a positive Earnings Per Share (EPS) to derive a price in which where AWYI should be trading. We can use “actual” and “factual” information. Consider below:

AWYI Share Structure per recent 10K above:
595,000,000 shares = Authorized Shares (OS)
595,000,000 shares = Outstanding Shares (OS)
220,000,000 shares = Float Shares
375,000,000 shares = Restricted Shares

Income ÷ OS = EPS
$599,491 ÷ 595,000,000 shares = EPS
.001 = EPS

Now let’s multiply that EPS by a PE Ratio to get a share price. Within the Yahoo link below, AWYI Trades within the Services Sector within the Consumer Services Industry. The Price to Earnings growth rate (PE Ratio) for which the Industry in AWYI trades is at 41.10 as of 28 Jan 08.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/763conameu.html

This means that with AWYI having an EPS of .001 per share and trading within the Consumer Services Industry within the market, it should fundamentally be trading at the PE Calculation below:

41.10 Consumer Services Industry PE Ratio x .001 EPS = .0411 per share

This means that as we sit and wait for those acquisitions to close for AWYI, we should be fundamentally sitting at a share price of .0411 per share. The information within this post is “actual” and “factual” information that was not created by me. That information was from the company’s filings and legitimate links for stocks supported by Edgar.

v/r
Sterling