FebOE Stuff?
Friday’s action brings us back to our core message, da-Boyz rule and Manipulation is alive and well, thank you very little, BOYZ, LOL! Well, actually, thank you VERY MUCHO’s GRAC-E-O-Soo’s BOYZ, Insert<BIG AssKie SMILE HEAR>!
It’s never ceased to amaze me how players could watch price action like today’s and NOT derive that some force was keeping it constrained between da-Lines? It’s all about the OE, well, AGAIN, and again, and Always! Parking the price on 15Feb is the END prize and everything else between now and then is Noise!
We suspect da-Boyz have 44.00/44.50 as their End game Goal and therefore we be mandated to remove short plays when price get’s below 43.00 and we’ll do it with reckless abandon if price violates the S5, 42.52!? Obviously we’ll be adding March calls if da-Boyz be so kind as to manipulate prices below 42.52? These MarOE calls will likely begin our Core MarOE position Campaign and I suspect there will be more pawn, bishop, and knight positions added before the last week of the OE get here, can you HEAR me NOW, LOL!?
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Now some wkly OE stuff:
Wkly Pivot, 45.59, close on 01Feb
High, 45.61, 04Feb
Low, 42.15, 07Feb
Close, 43.60, dn -4.4%
Range, 3.46
PM, 7.6% (Whatda, the three wk OE PM is only 9.4%, Son of a….)
Now let’s extrapolate a bit shall we and get a wkly perspective for OE wk, yes let’s!
Wkly Pivot, 43.60, close on 08Feb
High, 44.67, 15Feb
Low, 42.26, 12Feb
Close, 44.29, up 1.6%
Range, 2.58
PM, 5.9%
Is this a reasonable expectation, well, let’s review a bit shall we, yes we shall!
Wk01, 9.4% (Son of a… from High to Low for the OE in ONE Wk, Incorrigable, da-Boyz dat is, LOL!?)
Wk02, 5.3%
Wk03, 7.6%
Wk04, 5.9% 4cast, hmmm, very Doo, Doo, Doo-Able if da-Boyz don’t step in Dare own DooDoo, LOL!
Ok Campers, you got five days of an OE week to extract some serious coin form da-Boyz! BUT, being an OE week means delta’s will be disappearing in scary Fast fashion every day we play, this will make it damn near IM-Poss-E-Blay to make the trade without risking HUGE loss-es if price goes against you, yes!
So you have to ask yourself, do you have PRO-Tection, well, do Ya - PUNK-sters, LOL, ok do Ya-Campers, GrassHoppers, WannaBee’s, Whatever, LOL!?
Probably NOT, I wrote to Blash-phemy Man about said PROTECTION and he said he’d rather just Book it and Look at it, da-Profits dat is, OUCH! VERY amateur Hour-ish in his response and we’ll demonstrate this week how much Coin can be extracted if one strategically places key pawn, bishop, and knight positions in a way as to allow SERIOUS DEEP in da-Money plays that will yield ridiculous gains as price moves as predicted!?
This strategy (da-Protection one), not only suggest but DEPENDS (they sell those in stores too for protection but are more popular amongst our ‘Ole Man players such as GLENO and Dan da-Man, LOL), on having options in place that will be LEFT for Dead (code for expiring worthless), as ones DEEP in –da-Money plays REAP huge gains! There are VERY Few players that even DARE risk their coin buying options that expire in five or less trading days but we’ve got KEY strategic positions in place that will allow us to Thrive in an otherwise FORBIDDEN venture, Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeet, How COOL is dat!?
ReCap-ing:
It’s all about DEEP, REAP, DEPENDS, and PROTECTION this week, especially if we want to PUT it to da-Boyz but GOOD (put what to da-Boyz you ask, well, If using words like “DEEP, REAP, and PROTECTION” don’t give you a CLUE as to what our intentions are, don’t ASK because you don’t EVEN want to know, OR, you’re Too Young and should be exposed to such activities yet, LOL), and here’s why?
Our ability to REAP huge Gains this week playing da-Boyz for FOOLS, well, DEPENDS on our ability to have PROTECTION and get in Dare with DEEP in da-Money maneuvers, LOL!
It will be VERY Clear as to why one would buy Feb43 puts for .50 and HOLD-em as price goes down to 42.26 without taking profits! One does NOT sell those Feb43 puts but instead Buys with Reckless abandon Feb40 calls for 2.30! This will immediately LOCK in .70 for those Feb43 puts (a .20 gain), but more importantly allow those Feb40 calls to go from 2.30 in value to 4.70 in value as the Q’s travel from 42.26 to 44.70 fulfilling the OE Wkly extrapolation numbers!?
Imagining spending .50 ($-500 for ten contracts), to be able to buy 10 Feb40 call contracts for $-2300 (totally protected from loss), and then sell said call for $4700 and reap $2400 in gross gains and $1900 in net gains ($2400 less $-500 = $1900)! Risk $-500, net gain $1900, total outlay of money $2900, net gain in percentage terms 65%, Wowza! That’s right Campers, when Blasher-Man Quickly and defiantly rebuked me suggestion he didn’t know it at the time but I was learning just how mature of a player he really was! Be careful how you answer the question me fine fellow’d GrassHopper’s, as it’s not always intended to garnish knowledge, sometimes it yields telling info as to ones true ability to go to the next LEVEL, Zhen-Master level dat is (one can only Dream), LOL!?
Ok, Enjoy the weekend with Family and Friends but know this, we’ll meet you right back here on Monday morning to say, Shuffle up and DEAL me a Straight, Flush, or ROYAL FLUSH me, either way we’ll be meeting da-Boyz at whichever lines they choose to engage our SorryAsskie selves and may the Best Play-AR WIN, YOU GO BOYZ, LOL!?
Btw ALL, there are MANY Prognosticators and EVERYone has an opinion, good for them! But we be here to make YOU Money and could care less about being Right or Wrong, as a matter of fact, we be wrong plenty of times but being able to ascertain said "Wrong-ness" is our specialty, and being able to hedge said probable "Wrong" outcome is in our Charter! Therefore we go forward every day posting our trades in Real time, many times in advance using price triggers, then add-em up each day, then tallying the Final Numbers to confess for ALL to see the Good , da-Bad, and da-Ugly!
OE Pivot, 45.35, close on 18Jan
High, 45.88, up 1.2% (New High, 01Feb)
Low, 41.61, dn -8.2% (Posted 23Jan)
Close, 43.60, dn -3.9%
Spread, 3.16
PM, 9.4%
We start today with the following Open OE Port positions:
Short positions (expecting the Q’s to go Down), controlling 16k shares
Feb41 puts at 0.180, (QUAD), bought long
Feb42 puts at 0.565, (QUAD), bought long
Feb44 puts at 1.165, (QUAD), bought long
Feb40 calls at 2.88, (QUAD), sold short
Long positions (expecting the Q’s to go Up), controlling 28k shares
Feb43 calls at 2.66, (QUAD), bought long
Feb45 calls at 2.03, (QUAD), bought long
Feb46 calls at 0.32, (QUAD), bought long
Feb47 calls at 0.14, (QUAD), bought long
Feb48 calls at 0.05, (QUAD), bought long
Feb48 puts at 2.95, (DOUBLE), sold short
Feb46 puts at 2.04, (DOUBLE), sold short
Feb45 puts at 1.65, (QUAD), sold short
This gives us a Net Long da-Q's bias going into today and we'll use said Bias to play intraday Short plays to protect our Core positions and to post gains in an effort to minimize our pending losses on Open Positions.
These intraday plays are strategic in nature and will help us post profits that will off-set our losses incurred during this OE period as we HOLD Core positions indefinitely (see below side notes, Pending Gains/Loses)!
DCB (Dead Cat Bounce or NOT)
While the OVER-Whelming pundits, self-Proclaim-r’s, Messiah’s and/or “Prophet’s” of TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies have pretty much Baked in a DCB to Launch from these levels, we expect a Pre-DCB Discount wave to extend Down to the S4, 43.08, and maybe even see an extension to the S5, 42.52, intraday before WeakAsskie Shorts RUN for da-Border and take profits?
Close, Very Close in fact to a ST bottom but our work suggest lower prices are more likely than not, patience Campers, patience! One more trip back down to the S5, 42.52 with maybe even a close at or near should finally complete this “w” bottom formation and set the stage for a DCB back up to 45.35 min and more likely 46.67? This will be about a 7.5% upward move that we expect to happen by 29Feb, COOL?
We posted very modest gains yesterday as we traded in and/or out of Both puts and/or calls intraday and unloaded for same day profits. Hence our FebOE profits increased by $0.78 to $33.04 as we started the day with $32.26 in profits!
These posted profits are impressive but don’t forget we have many wounded soldiers still on the battlefield (pawns, bishops, and Knights) bleeding RED numbers everywhere, especially as we get closer to the OE and the delta shrinks up into a wie, sorry Michelle, small amount, see “Pending Gains/Losses” below!
Those gains are actually quite good since most of our gains usually come a couple weeks into the OE period. Mostly just positioning our pawns, bishops, and knights during the first couple weeks so it’s a bonus to post modest profits already!
Btw…if you don’t play Chess then I suggest you STOP trading Immediately and go learn da-Game, da-Chess game dat is! But don’t stop dare, stay away until you can actually BEAT someone at Chess. Otherwise, as most players who read to learn vs. actual experience, you’ll have learned just enough to lose your SorryAsskie life Savings, Get-it, Got-it, GOOD!
Side note (Pending Gains/-Losses):
These gains/losses will post when positions are removed and/or expire!
Pending -Loss(s)
Feb40 calls (QUAD) at 2.88 – 3.64 (closing $) = -0.76 x 4 = $-3.04
Feb43 calls (QUAD) at 2.66 – 1.12 (closing $) = -1.54 x 4 = $-6.16
Feb45 calls (QUAD) at 2.03 – 0.00 (closing $) = -2.03 x 4 = $-8.12
Feb46 calls (QUAD) at 0.32 – 0.00 (closing $) = -0.32 x 4 = $-1.28
Feb47 calls (QUAD) at 0.14 – 0.00 (closing $) = -0.14 x 4 = $-0.56
Feb48 calls (QUAD) at 0.05 – 0.00 (closing $) = -0.05 x 4 = $-0.20
Feb42 puts (QUAD) at 0.565 – 0.27 (closing $) = -0.295 x 4 = $-1.18
Feb44 puts (QUAD) at 1.165 – 0.99 (closing $) = -0.175 x 4 = $-0.70
Feb46 puts (DOUB) at 2.04 – 2.51 (closing $) = -0.47 x 2 = $-0.94
Feb48 puts (DOUB) at 2.95 – 4.40 (closing $) = -1.45 x 2 = $-2.90
Pending Gain(s)
Feb45 puts (QUAD), at 1.65 – 1.58 (closing $) = 0.07 x 4 = $0.28
Net gain/-loss pending for above open positions at the close = $-24.80
This pending gain/-loss(s) is dependent on our ability to navigate this OE period with the utmost precision in regard to da-Boyz! Not to worry, we suspect da-OEPM factor will shed some light on da-Boyz and their Footprints of meaning (True intentions), LOL!?
Gain/-Loss History:
JanOE, $10.40 (up 20.2%, $10.40 into 51.85 = 20.2%)
FebOE, $8.24 (33.04 -24.80) (if liquidated at the Close)
For your viewing pleasure da-OEPM 4cast-r says.....?
Date Open High Low Close
4-Feb 45.58 45.61 44.94 44.95
5-Feb 44.12 44.60 43.16 43.67
6-Feb 43.92 44.17 42.77 42.81
7-Feb 42.35 43.79 42.15 43.11
8-Feb 43.18 43.77 42.94 43.60
4cst
11-Feb 43.60 43.77 42.50 42.60
12-Feb 42.09 43.17 42.26 43.04
And in da-Spirit of da-Boyz club and their House rules, we remain committed to being BOTH Long and Short at the same time so as to be READY and ABLE to meet-em at whichever lines they decide suits their fancy and at a time and/or day of their choosing (Ohhhhh BOYYYYOYZ, come, and, GET US, LOL)!?
In summary, YOU GO BOYZ and do your thing, but remember this, we got your Back, Front, and any other side you choose to expose as you paint dem dare pictures, I guess Boyz will be Boyz now won’t They, LOL!?
Good trades ALL,
nm
BONUS OE STUFF, Remember – the CLOSING price tells ALL in regard the OEPM factor!
OE key Pivot Points
R8, 49.89, 10%
R7, 49.32, 8.75%
R6, 48.75, 7.5%
R5, 48.18, 6.25%
R4, 47.62, 5%, Now our Primary Bounce Target but we’ll likely have to complete the “ST” bottom first!?
R3, 47.05, 3.75%
R2, 46.48, 2.5%, Pre-Launch Target into 11/12Feb?
R1, 45.92, 1.25%
Pivot, 45.35, 0.0% , Our Primary target to confirm Launch Mode, prices MUST Close and Stay above this line!
S1, 44.78, -1.25%
S2, 44.22, -2.5%, Now Serious Resistance!
S3, 43.65, -3.75%
S4, 43.08, -5% , tagged 23Jan and now Serious Support on a Closing basis
S5, 42.52, -6.25%
S6, 41.95, -7.5%, Tagged 23Jan and about to be re-tested before we head higher?
S7, 41.38, -8.75%, Came within pennies of the S7 but I suspect we’ll NOT visit this level until June?
S8, 40.82, -10%
Most importantly, ARE you having FUN YET, I know I am!
FYI - we post EVERY trade in real time and in many cases post pre-trade sell and buy orders with trigger prices in anticipation of our 4cast! So ENJOY da-Show as we rat out da-Boyz club and have a little FUN while we're at it (I hope da-Boyz don't read dis-post otherwise they'll be GUN-ing for us - AGAIN, LOL!
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