FebOE Stuff?
Well. Well, Well, we had intentions to get net short at the close but da-Boyz danced to a tune of a different Drum-R and we submitted to their Foot Prints and will wait until today to get Seriously Short!? It appears we were a Day Early in our anticipation of a DROP or Discount Wave?
That said, we did close our Feb46 puts that we sold “Short” last week and posted some serious gains but more importantly if prices DROP tomorrow after the Fed meeting we’ll be able to RE-Load those Feb46 puts and sell-em “Short”!?
We have a Strong Long hand as we start the day with 40 Feb45 call contracts (QUAD), 20 Feb43 call contracts (DOUBLE), and 20 Feb46 call contracts (DOUBLE)! We have similar coverage on the Short side but not as many “In the Money” options as we hold 40Feb42 put contracts (QUAD) and 20 Feb44 call contracts (DOUBLE) sold Short!
We think da-Boyz have been Winding thinks UP and after the Fed meeting things will UN-Wind thereafter? Therefore we’ll use said Winding Up to add shorts to get us to a Net Short position going into the Fed Announcement?
OE Pivot, 45.35, close on 18Jan
High, 45.87, up 1.1%
Low, 41.61, dn -8.2%
Close, 44.41, dn -2.2%
Spread, 3.16
PM, 9.3%, Wow, 9.3% in first four days, Nearly Unprecedented!)
We start today with the following Open OE Port positions:
Short positions (expecting the Q's to go Down)
Feb42 puts at 0.565, (QUAD), bought long
Feb44 calls at 1.38, (DOUBLE), sold short
Long positions (expecting the Q's to go Up)
Feb45 calls at 2.03, (QUAD), bought long
Feb43 calls at 2.19, (DOUBLE), bought long
Feb46 calls at 0.58, (DOUBLE), bought long
This gives us a VERY Slight net LONG da-Q's bias going into today and we'll use said Long Bias to play intraday Short plays to protect our Long positions and to post gains in an effort to minimize our pending losses on Open Positions.
These intraday plays are strategic in nature and will help us post profits that will off-set our losses incurred during this OE period as we HOLD Core positions indefinitely (see below side notes, Pending Gains/Loses)!
DCB (Dead Cat Bounce or NOT)
While the OVER-Whelming pundits, self-Proclaim-r’s, Messiah’s and/or “Prophet’s” of TA, Charts, Fibs & Lies have pretty much Baked in a DCB to Launch from these levels, we expect a Pre-DCB Discount wave to extend Down to the S5, 42.52, and maybe even see an extension to the S6, 41.95, intraday before WeakAsskie Shorts RUN for da-Border and take profits?
We posted Great gains yesterday as we traded in and out of Both puts and calls intraday and unloaded for same day profits. Hence our FebOE profits increased by $3.26 to $12.46 as we started the day with $9.20 in profits!
Those gains are actually quite good since most of our gains usually come a couple weeks into the OE period. Mostly just positioning our pawns, bishops, and knights during the first couple weeks so it’s a bonus to post modest profits already!
Btw…if you don’t play Chess then I suggest you STOP trading Immediately and go learn da-Game, da-Chess game dat is! But don’t stop dare, stay away until you can actually BEAT someone at Chess. Otherwise, as most players who read to learn vs. actual experience, you’ll have learned just enough to lose your SorryAsskie life Savings, Get-it, Got-it, GOOD!
Side note (Pending Gains/Losses):
These gains/losses will post when positions are removed and/or expire!
Pending Loss(s)
Feb45 calls (QUAD) at 2.03 – 1.01 (closing $) = -1.02 x 4 = $-4.04
Feb44 calls (DOUB) at 1.38 – 1.53 (closing $) = -0.15 x 2 = $-0.30
Feb42 puts (DOUB) at 0.565 – 0.49 (closing $) = -0.075 x 2 = $-0.15
Pending Gain(s)
Feb43 calls (DOUB) at 2.19 – 2.20 (closing $) = 0.01 x 2 = $0.02
Feb46 calls (DOUB) at 0.58 – 0.58 (closing $) = 0.00 x 2 = $0.00
Net gain/-loss pending for above open positions at the close = $-4.47
This pending gain/-loss(s) is dependent on our ability to navigate this OE period with the utmost precision in regard to da-Boyz! Not to worry, we suspect da-OEPM factor will shed some light on da-Boyz and their Footprints of meaning (True intentions), LOL!?
Gain/-Loss History:
JanOE, $10.40 (up 20.2%, $10.40 into 51.85 = 20.2%)
FebOE, Pending
For your viewing pleasure da-OEPM 4cast-r says.....?
Date Open High Low Close
25-Jan 45.86 45.87 43.94 43.99
28-Jan 44.02 44.44 43.57 44.33
29-Jan 44.56 44.68 44.04 44.42
4cast
30-Jan 44.26 44.77 43.55 43.87
31-Jan 43.63 43.87 42.12 42.36
1-Feb 42.42 42.78 41.80 42.23
And in da-Spirit of da-Boyz club and their House rules, we remain committed to being BOTH Long and Short at the same time so as to be READY and ABLE to meet-em at whichever lines they decide suits their fancy and at a time and/or day of their choosing (Ohhhhh BOYYYYOYZ, come, and, GET US, LOL)!?
In summary, YOU GO BOYZ and do your thing, but remember this, we got your Back, Front, and any other side you choose to expose as you paint dem dare pictures, I guess Boyz will be Boyz now won’t They, LOL!?
Good trades ALL,
nm
BONUS OE STUFF, Remember – the CLOSING price tells ALL in regard the OEPM factor!
OE key Pivot Points
R8, 49.89, 10%
R7, 49.32, 8.75%
R6, 48.75, 7.5%
R5, 48.18, 6.25%
R4, 47.62, 5% , Now our Primary Bounce Target but we’ll likely have to complete the “W” bottom first!?
R3, 47.05, 3.75%
R2, 46.48, 2.5%, Pre-Launch Target into 25/28Jan?
R1, 45.92, 1.25%
Pivot, 45.35, 0.0% , Our Primary target to confirm Launch Mode, prices MUST Close and Stay above this line!
S1, 44.78, -1.25%
S2, 44.22, -2.5%
S3, 43.65, -3.75%
S4, 43.08, -5% , tagged 23Jan and now Serious Support
S5, 42.52, -6.25%
S6, 41.95, -7.5%, Absolutely Awesome to tag the -7.5% down marker so SOON!
S7, 41.38, -8.75%, Came within pennies of the S7 but I suspect we’ll NOT visit this level until June?
S8, 40.82, -10%
Most importantly, ARE you having FUN YET, I know I am!
FYI - we post EVERY trade in real time and in many cases post pre-trade sell and buy orders with trigger prices in anticipation of our 4cast! So ENJOY da-Show as we rat out da-Boyz club and have a little FUN while we're at it (I hope da-Boyz don't read dis-post otherwise they'll be GUN-ing for us - AGAIN, LOL!
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