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lentinman

01/25/08 10:41 PM

#378 RE: SSKILLZ1 #377

SSK:

You beat me to it. I was going to do the same analysis, but figured I'd eat first. Early bird gets the worm.

Len
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nsomniyak

01/25/08 10:45 PM

#379 RE: SSKILLZ1 #377

Thanks for the stats. This confirms what my gut was telling me--that not only was the spread smaller, but it was SIGNIFICANTLY smaller.

I expect the data would indicate that the difference this contest is we don't have runaway winners on the upside, given the tough market. More precisely, there is not a specific sector or theme (i.e. China in PSL7 or Jr Miners or ???) that has bucked the general downward pressure in the markets. While contestants may have a big winner, we are not seeing someone with 4 big winners because their theme is "in". The only thing that comes to mind is the short plays. Do you have data on how many of the players in positive territory have one or more of the short indecxes in their six picks?

Just as a for instance, after 2 weeks in the last contest I had something like 2 of the top 10 stocks and 4 in the top 30, and was around 15th. This time, my best stock is 35th, I stand around 60th place, but I think I am about as close to the top in % terms as I was last contest.