brikk: You mean because if $.75 holds and it goes up I'm right or if it doesn't hold and goes down I'm also right?
Well, kind of. But I think I'm saying that if $.75 does not hold then the downside could be more than just short-lived. The big money will just not come back until the outlook is better. For whatever reason.
And if $.75 holds then the big money believes that the short-term picture is OK.