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limtex

03/08/04 2:48 PM

#214760 RE: basserdan #214756

Goodness does this man ever find anything to be happy about...
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PENNYPRINCE 1

03/08/04 3:15 PM

#214791 RE: basserdan #214756

Dan bought HL and NXG look great IMTO.
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goodluck

03/10/04 12:48 AM

#215564 RE: basserdan #214756

If the Fed is reluctant to tinker with its principal policy instrument, then it should give active consideration to secondary instruments that it has at its disposal. These include increasing margin requirements on equity lending, raising reserve requirements on real estate lending, and figuring out a way to challenge the “carry trades” that are currently taking fixed income markets to excess.
He didn't do these things when many people were asking him to do them, and when the world has a much rosier hue, so Roach thinks AG is going to do them when employment is still punk and any downturn here will plausibly lead to more trade strictures? Get real.

Not that what he says doesn't make total sense, IMHO. I agree completely, so let me add my thanks for continuing to post his ruminations.


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mlsoft

03/11/04 1:37 AM

#216214 RE: basserdan #214756

Dan....

As much as I respect and appreciate Roach, I think he has missed an important point -- creating asset bubbles are the heart and soul of the Greenspan Gambit, essential for escaping the twin spectres of deflation and recession when there are no other drivers to rescue the economy. Although I personally think it will almost certainly fail in the long run, it is a well thought out and very intentional policy of the Fed.

Thanks for sharing your Roach -- the best economic pundit I know of.

mlsoft