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madrose1

02/26/04 9:36 PM

#3144 RE: nancy2 #3141

Yah nancy , but each day you have to trade the scenario , and take into consideration the other action and signs/tip-offs.

The networkers today and the past few days were giving clear signs of bottoming out & preparing for bounces ie: FDRY and CSCO's action , and the bidding up of the momos eBAY and QCOM that traders know will squeeze later on in a contrarian market . CSCO's bounce should not have gone unnoticed , it was right there happening , so sometimes you forget the charts.

Sure you can be fearful ahead of INTC's MidQ , but todays action relative to that future date , and the tons of selling on them already , gives the hedgies a perfect day to take profits too on much larger positions than you or I cannot imagine easily . These guys went short back up @ $33's Nancy on huge amounts of shares , they don't want to lose profits either , even if INTC is to dip down to the $28's still ?

If INTC were to go to $28's and lower , you have a whole lot of trouble going on... but the main thing I focussed on regarding AMAT was that test and support at $20.90 for this weeks trading scenario. That support you can very clearly see on the chart .

Again , if INTC does break down lower as you suggest , then you can get out your bear suit and keep it on all thru the spring !
Want to go play up in Alaska and look for gold and ivory ? ;-)

But that would completely negate everything alot of certain "believers " have been telling us all along , wouldn't it ? Those are the guys they want shaken out .










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madrose1

02/26/04 10:04 PM

#3145 RE: nancy2 #3141

The other thing regarding AMAT , even though they sold it back down hard after eps (not such a good thing, admittedly ) was they got thru it fairly unscathed showing strength across the boards upon guidance and even taking more market share ...
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=19823572

so my reasoning was watch them go after NVLS and KLAC which they already had in large doses, but they all bounce when INTC bounces almost everytime ...and INTC led them today in a contrarian move which made it easy to see they were poised to bounce off these lower supports ...while AMAT , at least temporarily was holding that double test of $20.90 for this week .

That is covering by the larger Hedgies , and pro-traders capitalizing on every uptick reverse squeeze , which today was over +$1.50 bounces almost on KLAC and NVLS each. That books you a ton of $$$ on any given day if you see that potential for the short~hedgies to lock in profits , which they can't do easily or unnoticed , except into extreme weakness.

There is big money on both sides of the fence who both know the steps of the dance ...and if you get caught in between you can get rolled over easily....now for the next set-up.

Marshie just got lucky ...cause I just can't read charts !

<GGGGG>



















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madrose1

02/26/04 11:38 PM

#3146 RE: nancy2 #3141

.... friday is also month's end and "window dressing" day... which historically is usually bullish the 3 days going into,


..and here you see the SOX actually has moved up the last three days , though even someone like I who cannot read charts can see very easily where the next resistance is on the $SOX :
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=sox,uu[h,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lb14]&pre....

Now the next thing to look forward to next friday is the latest jobs report , which has been the running theme driving the market lately ..so how many will want to make huge bets going into that may not be too large ahead of them , granted.
Just have to watch and learn... cause that will be the day after INTC's big Mid Q , too.


(Should be fun , but I'll prolly leave Jerry now to his "sharks" to figure out how to trade that )

Amazing the BTK prints almost a new two year high today on
DNA's Avastin FDA news ....new class of Anti-angiogenesis drug therapy
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=btk,uu[h,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lb14]&pre....
















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madrose1

03/02/04 10:51 AM

#3159 RE: nancy2 #3141

INTC reaching for $30 , AMAT topping $22 here again ...$30 will that's be interesting for INTC .

...just when you "go short da Semis "....

and after they've fallen already 20% or so ...they do have a

funny way of going contrarian to "da crowd " .

(when some go short , always go long )


;)