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madrose1

02/26/04 8:33 PM

#3140 RE: randix #3138

Hi Randix ....have a fun day "knock 'em dead" ? ;-)


You know that's prolly what that headline does mean for INTC , the big Mid Q is in March but I
saw an earlier one too that was

<<<Intel Corp.-INTC 1pm business news update cc 2/26 sponsor Co" >>>


You know how I kept mentioning to Jerry about that huge dumping we began to see back in mid-Jan on the tape , and AMAT tried to rear up a second time making a lower double~top to the mid-high $24's .... that was giving me the roadmap for what lay ahead , combined with the constant selling pressure everyday on the giant INTC ....what was significant then was that HUGE resistance on AMAT then of $25 which has traditionally put AMAT at a prime Valuation in the best of times .

One of the maxims is also without further catalysts:

"if they can't push 'em up farther" , then they'll sell them back down "


Thru the noise surrounding and going into the weakness/doubt into NVLS CC now , I was taking my que off of AMAT to see how this scenario might unfold since it was somewhat in the clear from their eps report and guidance , and on the 23rd and 24th both dips to $20.90's were getting bought hard. This was what was giving me the confidence to see an early sell-off followed by a rebound today .

Jerry thinks he is the only one who can read a chart , but I think anyone can see at only a glance where AMAT here was getting support easily 3 times there on dips to $20.90's
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=amat,uu[h,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lb14]&pr....


and you know I watch level II and the ecns as well and was right in the middle of that action , and was waiting each time the last few days for each dip there ...while watching the body language of the others .














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madrose1

02/26/04 9:20 PM

#3142 RE: randix #3138

On INTC NVLS and KLAC today , it was almost the perfect scenario unfolding if you also had the charts running for all 4 amigos , INTC KLAC NVLS & AMAT which I always do , so I am not just throwing darts and guessing .
(including levell II & ecns for all 4 as well)


If you followed the action or look at the 3 min chart for INTC you see that $29.39 area holding thru , and INTC gave a tell-tale sign of wanting to bid up later from the first , after the usual "trap a few shorts " & bounce scenario was possibly to unfold ...I mentioned this to Zeev early on , as you guys in "Da Room" would have been messing & playing around with charts , instead of planning your strategy for entrys

I mention to Zeev early on what I am seeing
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=2466393

"alot of valuation "hold" calls in the semis so far...perfect day for some shorts to cover into weakness ....but a weaker opening for them looks like but not huge selling here yet "


* You know as well as I , when they wring out all the bad news and pushed them way down so far for weeks .... Hedgies from much higher up have a tendency to cover larger positions into the final weakness , and new shorties get rolled over and sit there unbelieving , hehehe....

so adding INTC on second test of $29.39 , watching casually at the same time NVLS get pushed down also to $32.25 after the open , again even a quick glance at a basic chart shows that it was getting bought there from before :
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=nvls,uu[h,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lb14]&pr...

What was really beautiful about today , is Thomas Weasel gave all three amigos AMAT KLAC and NVLS a peer perform rating , so they all peer-performed , hehe .

Another quick glance at the KLAC chart shows where it was getting support :
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=KLAC,uu[h,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lb14]&pr...

and the beauty was of the entire morning was , that they did the whole scenario in easy 1-2-3 steps ! First they pushed down INTC and it stabilized off $29.39/41 area ..then they pushed down NVLS to support and hovered it there briefly to $32.25 ....then they went after KLAC to wring it out to the mid~$52 area of support , getting new shorts in and others to dump ...and then reared them all back up with a bit of a small vengence .

There always is alot of money to be made on a day like this , if you guess the set-up correctly and see the signs and plan the trade ...and just read the charts! But Jerry doesn't believe I can read a chart , LOLOL!!

About +$1.50 off both NVLS & KLAC'ster ...a huge +50c off AMAT romp to $22 ...and +40c off INTC. But one has to see the set-up and plan the trades early on as i said before, during the premarkt, not alot of goofing off and being captured by the fear....as Jerry says --->read the charts and ignore.
But I can't read charts ....hehe


*** Another tip-off today was how some traders went after the momos like QCOM early on , and the bounce in the Networkers CSCO and FDRY . I tried all this time to try to get some to notice the bottoming action in FDRY & CSCO. Again just look at the charts...and the action .










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madrose1

02/26/04 9:23 PM

#3143 RE: randix #3138

So , did you like that bidding up on FDRY too as well as the bounce in the semis ?


They do this every time , and Jerry usually misses it almost ----> every time too .<G>

hehehe

(but Marshie can't read charts , hahahahah!)

DOH !


lesson concluded.