1) I have in the past argued for negotiating from strength, and I do know that licensees look for companies who are fiscally weak, and build that into their strategies (the fact is, when I have consulted to companies, I have noted to them that licensor X only has six months of cash, or something like that--and that this would give them some added leverage. I'm certainly not the only person who can figure that out). But by my calculation, they probably had $8-9 million on hand at the end of 2Q (we'll know soon enough), and the very high costs of the CX717 neurology package are now mainly gone, albeit some IND costs continue. That means that I think they can wait for the ADHD IND to raise money at better terms. If they do a PIPE now, that would mean they are not confident about the ADHD IND. Which I suppose would make a PIPE defensible, but I am not currently going with that premise.
2) I have already two or three times said that the price drop was not only seen with Cortex, but is a more slippery slope for Cortex because of the warrants.
3) Any sane deal with a well-known BP will enhance share value, though Targacept's experience shows that can be a brief honeymoon.
NeuroInvestment