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Replies to #49885 on Biotech Values
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DewDiligence

07/19/07 7:21 PM

#49886 RE: apljack #49885

> STJ is the only player without the taint of defective product (I'm looking for some wood to knock on)…<

LOL about the wood. In the ICD business, no one can stay taint-free indefinitely, so STJ will undoubtedly get its moment in the spotlight at some point.

Good luck with your large CAMH holding—it’s not hard to imagine it being a multi-bagger. I’m still skeptical of STJ’s true commitment, however, and I want to see some CAMH revenues that exceed those of a corner newsstand. Regards, Dew
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DewDiligence

07/21/07 2:08 AM

#49984 RE: apljack #49885

Boston Scientific Hovers Near 5-Year Low As Stent Sales Slide

[While STJ’s ICD sales are recovering nicely, BSX’s are flat at best.]

http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUKN2043666220070720?rpc=44

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Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:38PM EDT
By Debra Sherman

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Boston Scientific Corp. (BSX) posted lower-than-expected quarterly profit on Friday as sales of its flagship drug-eluting heart stents fell by 32 percent.

Boston Scientific, whose shares sank to their lowest level in more than three months, derives most of its revenue from stents, tiny tubular devices that prop open diseased heart arteries, and implantable heart devices that manage abnormal heart rhythms.

It said those markets did not perform as well as expected in the latest quarter, and it issued a third-quarter profit forecast that analysts said was below Wall Street estimates.

"It is clear to us that the (drug-eluting stent) and (cardiac rhythm management) markets are not recovering as fast as we expected," Chief Executive Jim Tobin said.

The company, which also makes products used in urology, oncology and gynecology, said second-quarter profit, excluding one-time items, was $271 million, or 18 cents per share, down from $412 million, or 31 cents per share, a year ago. The consensus estimate on Wall Street was for a profit of 19 cents per share, according to Reuters Estimates.

Quarterly sales dipped to $2.07 billion from $2.11 billion, off Wall Street's consensus forecast of $2.09 billion. Drug-eluting heart stent sales declined to $437 million from $647 million [ouch].

Sales of implantable cardioverter defibrillators, or ICDs -- part of the Cardiac Rhythm Management business acquired when Boston Scientific bought Guidant in 2006 -- were $377 million. The year-earlier total, if Boston Scientific had owned the business at that time, would have been $383 million.

David Heupel, portfolio manager of Thrivent Investment Management, which holds shares of rivals St. Jude Medical Inc. (STJ) and Medtronic Inc. (MDT), said the real disappointment was Boston Scientific's ICD sales.

He said St. Jude reported relatively strong ICD sales earlier this week.

Boston Scientific's ICD sales total "implies the market is not growing as fast as we had hoped, or they are losing share, or probably both," Heupel said.

Sam Leno, on the job as Boston Scientific's chief financial officer for six weeks, noted the need to reduce expenses and head count. That will be the focus through 2008, he said.

Boston Scientific, based in Natick, Massachusetts, forecast third-quarter sales of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion and net earnings of 3 cents to 8 cents per share.

In a research note to clients, Glenn Reicin, an analyst with Morgan Stanley, called the second-quarter results "basically a worst-case scenario."

He said the weak third-quarter profit forecast "underscores the extent to which the bottom line is dependent on high-margin stent and ICD sales."
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