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07/10/07 8:43 PM

#1285 RE: DewDiligence #1283

i had to reread your message... you made your message a quiz : )

$13.74 is equal to the current market cap divided by the 24.6 million shares not owned by NVS... (i dunno... you do have my interest)

would say rationale includes fact that a buyout will be more economical to NVS than to pay possible profits / milestones / royalties on Tyzeka and 283 ... plus NVS would get other drugs in the pipeline.

got to work on kitchen floor... preparing it for tile. later.










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dewophile

07/11/07 3:11 PM

#1288 RE: DewDiligence #1283

I have no clue how you derived at your buyout price, but I've thought all along the HIV franchise could prove pivotal..at some point the cost of a full buyout is less than the cumulative partnership layouts on individual candidates
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07/13/07 10:09 AM

#1300 RE: DewDiligence #1283

buyout @ $13.74 in '08.. has the rationale changed?

thanks
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io_io

07/13/07 11:46 AM

#1302 RE: DewDiligence #1283

Dew - <<<<<"After due reflection....">>>>

Dew, you will have to agree that my post of last month was incisive and ominous:

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=20397711


* "the AE/discontinuations did hit statistical significance"

* ==>> Result is "The two-tailed P value equals 0.0351"

* "But all the drugs were in the mix, and I would call this a clear signal"