>Certainly you don't take anonymous MB posts at face value.<
Many of these “anonymous” posters are actually known people so, yes, by and large I do take the posts as reflecting the opinions of their authors.
>I think very few if anyone truly believes that 9902b is a certain success. The stock price reflects that.<
A few do (or did) such as croumagnon, who once posted that 9902b’s missing its primary endpoint would be akin to a meteor strike on DNDN’s headquarters.
More important, the current enterprise value (market cap less net cash) is more than half a billion dollars. When you consider the EV and the relatively long time span until a potential approval, it’s clear that quite a few investors do think 9902b has a very good chance to succeed.