Analysts say the real decision on Georgia's territorial future will be made in Russia. " Russia will have to decide whether it wants to calm the situation, or whether it wants to use the Muslim enclave of Adzharia as leverage to pressure the new Georgian government," says Ghia Nodia, head of the Caucasus Institute for Peace, Democracy and Development.
The Russians certainly have us with our pants down. Using Iraq as a gambit pawn has worked very well for them so far. The Iraqi's are beating us up faster than the Viet Cong did at this early stage in the game in terms of the casualties. As far as politics go it is already far worse for the hawks. Military families are already organizing with the peaceniks to bring the troops back. Nothing like that was going on at this early stage in Vietnam. If Russia bullies Georgia back into a sattelite country what in the hell can we do about it?? Send half our troops in Iraq into Georgia? Bush cant bring back the draft until after the election. At least not without code red and military law. Seems like a good time for the Russians to make a move on the former Soviet states around the Caspian Sea. Other than England Europe already sided with the Russians on the diplomatic front. Its hard to imagine that between the U.S. or Russia they would side with us if Someone is going to annex Georgia ( officially or otherwise ). Given that the Bushies have been as tactful as a bunch of drunk bandits on the diplomatic front I have a hard time seeing Rummy coming out on top in Georgia. My worry is that if the Russians make their play for the territory around the Caspian Sea the Bushies are going to go to code red or even create a Reichstag type of event. Franks seems to already be floating balloons for that one. The Russians will get some of the territory around the Caspian Sea and the Bushies in turn will get Marshal Law. What a Cake Walk it is.
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