News Focus
News Focus
Replies to #44114 on Biotech Values
icon url

drbio45

04/01/07 8:41 AM

#44119 RE: Deadb440 #44114

Chill out...
I meant 3/31/07, and will correct that next post however....

for your information full enrollment is slated to take place over a one year period from Novemeber '06 until November '07.
Of course it may be completed sooner but if it takes the full time frame then my timeline is accurate. There could already be several hundred patients completed the trial but if the last person isn't enrolled till the last minute and then needs 3 months to go through the program that means the data won't be locked until sometime in February at the earliest and to wait 5 to 6 months to get the data analyzed is normal. Heck it took them almost 5 months to analyze the phase 2 data
and that was only 900 patients..........


sorry, evidently you don't have a sense of humor. I was basically accusing you of being able to look into the future or being a time traveler. I knew you weren't either

the guidance as you say is full enrollment by 11/07. I think enrollment is going faster but we can leave it at november. I think they will bust their butts to get the data quicker than 5 or 6 months. the endpoints are simple and it shouldn't take that long. It should go 3 months less but there is nothing for me to chill out about. I wasn't excited
icon url

drbio45

04/02/07 11:45 AM

#44160 RE: Deadb440 #44114

Medicure article

I believe the goal of the company would be to have a late breaker at ACC next year

Winning over hearts
Erin Pooley
From the March 26, 2007 issue of Canadian Business magazine
In the global cardiovascular drug industry, Medicure Inc. is a David among the Goliaths. With just 90 employees and a market capitalization of less than $140 million, the Winnipeg-based drug-discovery company is a small player compared to the pharmaceutical giants that compete in the US$70-billion heart-disease space. But despite its size, Medicure is working on a drug with the capacity to reduce the risk of heart damage due to cardiovascular disease — the No. 1 killer in both Canada and the United States. Recent safety concerns regarding drug-coated stents — an alternative treatment to coronary artery bypass surgery — could also pump some new life into this biotech's sagging share price (TSX: MPH).

Currently in pivotal Phase 3 trials, Medicure's MC-1 drug is a cardio-protectant, designed to reduce the damage to the heart when arteries are blocked and when they are subsequently reopened after bypass surgery. In a previous trial involving 900 bypass patients, the drug reduced the heart attack rate by nearly 50% in the first 30 days. If Phase 3 trials are successful — results are expected in March 2008 — MC-1 could be on the market in the U.S. as early as the beginning of 2009, following shortly after in Canada. (Medicure has already received fast-track approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for MC-1.)

"I call it the second Aspirin," says Claude Camiré, a biotechnology analyst at Toronto-based Paradigm Capital Inc. "A lot of people use Aspirin or blood thinners [after surgery], but those only help your blood flow — they don't really protect your heart like MC-1. I think Medicure has a good chance of succeeding." Camiré rates MPH a Buy, with a 12-month price target of $3.



Shares in Medicure reached as high as $2.24 a year ago but now trade at around $1.20, despite speculation late last year they might pop, pending the announcement of a marketing partnership with a U.S. firm. Although nothing materialized, that option is still on the table, says co-founder, president and chief executive Bert Friesen (left). "We have stated that we are certainly open and interested, but only if it maximizes the value to the shareholders," he says. "If a partnership deal of significant value is presented to us before the data, we could still entertain it, but we're keeping the options open."

Camiré says Medicure could also be considered a target for acquisition, with Connecticut-based biotech firm Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. a possible buyer. "The recent failure of Alexion's similar type of drug in Phase 3 for the same indication as MC-1 could give an extra edge for Medicure," he says. "It may be looking to buy."

In the meantime, Medicure will continue to capitalize on safety concerns regarding drug-eluting stents — tiny, drug-coated tubes made of metal mesh that are implanted in the coronary artery after angioplasty to keep arteries open longer. Considered less invasive than bypass surgery — which involves grafting part of a healthy blood vessel onto a blocked coronary artery — drug-coated stents soared in popularity when they were approved by Health Canada in late 2002 and by the U.S. FDA in 2003. Vancouver-based device maker Angiotech Pharmaceuticals Inc. (TSX: ANP; Nasdaq: ANPI) — which was in partnership with Massachusetts-based Boston Scientific Corp. — saw its shares climb as high as $38 three years ago with the introduction of its drug-coated Taxus stent to North America. Recent news of the increased risk of blood clots in stent patients, however, has put Angiotech's stock on life support — it now flutters around $7 on the Toronto market. "Angiotech has seen a dramatic reduction in royalty revenue, which has caused a significant ripple effect through the company's financial situation," writes UBS analyst Jeff Elliott in a recent research report.

While Friesen is careful to point out that drug-eluting stents are not going away — and that the risk of blood clots is still relatively low — he remains hopeful the news will mean an uptick in the number of bypass surgeries performed each year in North America and, consequently, the amount of MC-1 prescribed as a post-surgery treatment. His five-year vision for Medicure is to become an integrated Canadian pharmaceutical company with "up to three products on the market [and] other ones in the pipeline — all focused in the cardiovascular space."

Medicure currently has the exclusive U.S. licensing rights to Aggrastat — a blood thinner — and has concluded Phase 2 trials on MC-4232, a combination drug intended to reduce high blood pressure in diabetic patients. With $45 million of cash on hand and a reported $1.4 million in second-quarter sales for the period ending Nov. 30 — compared to no revenue a year earlier — the company's goal is to ramp up Aggrastat sales, which could reach as high as $70 million by 2010, according to Camiré. Like all biotechs, Medicure does not come without risks, although analysts say the company is in a good position to finance MC-1's third — and final — trial, and there appear to be no competing drug candidates.

In the meantime, the company will have to work hard to muscle its way into the highly competitive — and fast-growing — field of cardiovascular drug development, where billion-dollar pharmaceutical companies easily outnumber the Medicures of this world. A battle of biblical proportions, indeed.
Canada US