Part of the reason I went out and started trying to build a bunch of tools was because its become difficult for me to understand the market’s reaction function. In other words I have no idea why it goes up or down anymore. The traditional microcap hole we all fished in has more fisherman and fewer fish.
So I’m trying to make sense of all of this with data, history, and probabilities so I can learn to act on it with confidence.
Because the idea of the market ripping straight up doesn’t fit any mental model I’ve had before. It gets weirder every year.