Replies to post #579855 on Tornado Alley (PROG)

[dinogreeves]

Look, Iran is extremely mineral rich Country, I didn't have to look up for an AI to answer my questions. Because everything I wanted was produced in Iran as far as consumption is concentred, nothing was imported other that earth moving machinery, like Caterpillar and Komatsu, military equipment. Everyone wants a slice of Iran because of it resources it has, best Cavia, best nuts, best rice, best of the best for human consumption. What they did to that Country is irreparable, we use to convert 7 TOMAN for every dollars, now it is 155,000. How can a Country with that vast amount of natural resources on all fronts, their currency drops to abyss, only one answer to that, the regime is sucking up all the revenues.

Yes, Iran is exceptionally rich in mineral resources, ranking among the world’s top 15 mineral-rich nations. With over 7% of the world's total mineral reserves, Iran hosts 68 different types of minerals, including significant deposits of zinc, copper, iron ore, uranium, and coal, holding over 57 billion tons in proven reserves.
The Hague Research Institute
The Hague Research Institute
+2
Key Mineral Resources & Production
Zinc & Lead: Iran boasts some of the world’s largest zinc reserves, with major mining operations like the Anguran mine and Mehdiabad mine.
Copper: Ranked in the top 10 globally for copper reserves, with major production at the Sar-Cheshmeh and Sungun mines.
Iron Ore: A top 10 global producer (11th in 2019, 6th in 2021) with large deposits in Kerman, Khorasan, and Yazd.
Precious/Critical Minerals: Significant reserves of gold (mainly in West Azerbaijan), uranium, and rare earth elements like titanium.
Industrial Minerals: Iran is a major producer of gypsum (2nd globally), barite, cement, and molybdenum.
Wikipedia
Wikipedia
+5
Industry Significance
Economic Impact: Mining is a crucial sector used to diversify the economy away from oil.
Active Mining: There are over 6,000 active mines across the country.
Key Export Markets: Iran exports substantial amounts of steel, copper, and zinc to China, India, and neighboring countries

[12yearplan]

Looks like it would be a minority gov't if it ever gets there..

Reza has the support of a couple opposition groups in and out of Iran and he has consistently said he just wants to be on the ballot - "let the people decide" what they want to vote FOR. What is the breakdown of what the public at large wants. I understand polls indicate 90% want the regime to end. But there are more nuanced concerns that split that voting public when they get a chance..

**Short answer:**
Independent surveys show that while **70–80% of Iranians want the Islamic Republic gone**, there is **no single preferred alternative**. Support splits among a **secular republic**, **constitutional monarchy**, **strong-leader model**, and **undecided voters**, meaning Reza Pahlavi’s “let the people decide” framing aligns with the fact that Iranians overwhelmingly agree on *ending* the regime but disagree on *what comes next*. [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com/iran-protests-2026-our-surveys-show-iranians-agree-more-on-regime-change-than-what-might-come-next-273198) [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)

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Below is a detailed, evidence-based breakdown of what Iranians want **according to the most credible public-opinion data available**, primarily from GAMAAN (a Netherlands-based academic institute whose surveys are widely cited because they use anonymous VPN-based sampling to bypass regime repression).

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# 🇮🇷 **1. Overwhelming consensus: Iranians want the Islamic Republic to end**
Across multiple surveys (2024–2026):

- **70–80% reject the Islamic Republic** and would not vote for it in any form. [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com/iran-protests-2026-our-surveys-show-iranians-agree-more-on-regime-change-than-what-might-come-next-273198)
- Only **~20%** want the Islamic Republic to continue. [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)
- Support for the Supreme Leader and the 1979 revolution has dropped to **~11%**. [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)

This is the strongest point of unity in Iranian society.

---

# 🇮🇷 **2. But there is *no consensus* on what should replace it**
When asked what system they prefer **after** the Islamic Republic:

- **26%** support a **secular republic**
- **21%** support a **monarchy** (constitutional, not absolute)
- **22%** say they **don’t know enough yet**
- **11%** say the exact system doesn’t matter as long as change happens
- **15%** support some form of **federalism** (mostly in minority regions)
[????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)

This fragmentation is exactly why Reza Pahlavi emphasizes **“put it to a vote”** — because no single alternative commands a majority.

---

# 🇮🇷 **3. What values do Iranians want in a future system?**
Across surveys:

- **89% support democracy** as a principle. [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)
- **Two-thirds reject religious rule**.
- **Over 70% reject military rule**.
- **37%** prefer parties focused on **individual freedoms and human rights**.
- **33%** prefer **social-justice-oriented** parties.
- Only **5%** support religious/traditionalist parties.
[????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)

This shows a strong shift toward secular, rights-based governance.

---

# 🇮🇷 **4. A surprising nuance: Many still want a “strong leader”**
Even though 89% support democracy, **43%** also say they would accept a **strong leader without a parliament**.
[????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335)

This reflects:

- Trauma from decades of instability
- Distrust in political institutions
- Desire for order during transition

This is a major challenge for any post-regime transition.

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# 🇮🇷 **5. Why Reza Pahlavi’s message resonates with some groups**
Reza Pahlavi’s support tends to come from:

- Urban, educated, secular Iranians
- Diaspora communities
- Younger generations who associate the Pahlavi era with stability rather than repression
- People who want a symbolic unifying figure but not an absolute monarch

But he does **not** command majority support as a preferred system — rather, he is one of several options in a fragmented field.

---

# 🇮🇷 **6. Why his “ballot box” message is strategic**
Because the data shows:

- Iranians agree on **ending the regime**, not on **what replaces it**
- No single opposition figure or system has majority support
- A referendum is the only mechanism that could produce legitimacy

His position avoids alienating republicans, monarchists, federalists, and undecided voters.

---

# 🇮🇷 **7. Summary Table: What Iranians Want (Based on Surveys)**

| Question | Most Common Answer | % (approx.) | Source |
|---------|--------------------|-------------|--------|
| Keep Islamic Republic? | **No** | 70–80% | [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com/iran-protests-2026-our-surveys-show-iranians-agree-more-on-regime-change-than-what-might-come-next-273198) |
| Support democracy? | **Yes** | 89% | [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335) |
| Preferred system? | **Secular republic** | 26% | [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335) |
| Support monarchy? | **Yes (constitutional)** | 21% | [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335) |
| Undecided? | **Large group** | 22% | [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335) |
| Want strong leader? | **Surprisingly high** | 43% | [????? ??????????](https://www.iranintl.com/en/202508212335) |

---

# If you want, I can also break down:
- How support for monarchy vs. republic varies by **age**, **region**, and **education**
- How Reza Pahlavi compares to other opposition figures (without political opinions)
- What political-science models predict for Iran’s transition scenarios

Just tell me which angle you want to explore.

[dinogreeves]

Your feeling is 100% wrong, so, If I have peasant asswipe calling my daughter a whore, because I have a different view than him. I love all ordinary Iranian people because their hospitality is second to none. I can relate to them and they can relate to me, we all want what is best for Iran and the people of Iran.