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Whalatane

04/02/26 2:01 PM

#2934 RE: Fred Kadiddlehopper #2932

But, But , but Fred ...why dont the Bangladesh's send one of their old WW2 gun boats , a rusted old tanker and follow Dear Leaders suggestion ...just go over there and take it ...just take it ...the oil that is .
Meanwhile

US stocks abruptly rebounded on Thursday morning after Iran’s deputy foreign minister announced that Iran was drafting a protocol with Oman to manage traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.


So if the market closes green or roughly flat ...within a 100 pts of break even ...market is forward looking and thinks Iran and Oman will work out some kind of toll system like the $1 per barrel of oil transit fee some countries are rumored to be already paying Iran ....I'll stick to my ..its partly to mostly over ....at least for market participants . Real world consequences will go on for the rest of the year probably.

Meanwhile as Fenster posted ...if new brand drugs face a 100% tariff, there goes the non medicare ( medicare is covered by TDAPA ) OLC customer .

And most importantly ...you still sticking to your "low $5's " to add ?
We may not get there unless we see a second CRL ...which historically is maybe at most a 15% probability
JMO
Kiwi
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Whalatane

04/02/26 2:18 PM

#2935 RE: Fred Kadiddlehopper #2932

OT ..so with the boards permission



As of April 2, 2026, the Strait of Hormuz is under effective Iranian military control due to the ongoing conflict with the U.S. and Israel, which began in late February 2026. While international law classifies the strait as an international waterway governed by the principle of transit passage, Iran and Oman are currently finalizing a joint protocol to institutionalize a new bilateral oversight regime.

Current Control and Governance
Effective Iranian Blockade: Since March 2026, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has largely restricted traffic, allowing only vessels from "friendly" nations (such as China, India, and Malaysia) to pass.

New "Toll" System: Iran has reportedly established a "toll booth" system near Larak Island, charging some commercial vessels up to $2 million in cryptocurrency or Chinese yuan for "safe transit rights".

Iran-Oman Joint Protocol: Iranian officials announced on April 2, 2026, that they are in the final stages of drafting a protocol with Oman to "monitor and coordinate" all tanker traffic. This protocol would require all transiting vessels to obtain advance permits from both coastal states.

Legal and Territorial Framework
The Strait is 21 nautical miles wide at its narrowest point, meaning its entire width falls within the overlapping 12-mile territorial waters of Iran and Oman.

International Law (UNCLOS): Under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), ships have the right of unimpeded transit passage through international straits.
Iranian Counter-Claim:
Iran, which signed but never ratified UNCLOS, argues that only "innocent passage" applies. This allows a coastal state to suspend transit if it deems its security is at risk—a position Iran has codified in its 1993 Law of Marine Areas.
Oman's Position:
Oman is a party to UNCLOS but has historically maintained a decree requiring foreign warships to seek prior permission before entering its territorial waters, a claim contested by the U.S..



Actually good for us if they are allowing Indian tankers to pass ...less risk of an inspection delay at the Shipla plant in India

Kiwi
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Denisk

04/02/26 3:12 PM

#2938 RE: Fred Kadiddlehopper #2932

according to this report , mostly Bangladesh is affected. not india, " Effective Iranian Blockade: Since March 2026, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has largely restricted traffic, allowing only vessels from "friendly" nations (such as China, India, and Malaysia) to pass.".
So I don't see how this would affect UNCY ??