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03/29/26 9:49 PM

#575946 RE: fuagf #575825

Trump has 'no idea' what he’s gotten into on Iran | David Cay Johnston

"Houthis open new front in Iran war: Will Yemeni group block Bab al-Mandeb?"


The Trump Report

696,076 views Mar 28, 2026 The Trump Report

On this episode of The Trump Report, Fergus Macphee is joined by Pulitzer Prize winning journalist David Cay Johnston. They discuss conflicting reports from the US that the President has extended a pause on striking Iranian energy facilities, meanwhile 10,000 additional troops could be deployed. David believes the President is in a difficult situation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYrGukjumxI
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04/07/26 1:46 PM

#577362 RE: fuagf #575825

Donald Trump's shifting rhetoric on Iran war works against his rapidly thinning credibility

"Houthis open new front in Iran war: Will Yemeni group block Bab al-Mandeb?
Seems Trump actually got something right - How extensive is Russia’s military aid to Iran?
"Time to confront folly of Iran war and irrational US spending
"Donald Trump wants a 'silver bullet' in Iran but he's dealing with a 'very complex situation'
"Tehran’s ‘toll booth’: How Iran picks who to let through Strait of Hormuz
"When war looks like prophecy: How U.S. ‘end time’ narratives frame the war with Iran
"They Believe They Are Fulfilling Prophecy-The Rest of Us Will Pay the Price""""""
"

Related: UN chief decries ‘incendiary rhetoric’ after Trump ramps up threats against Iran as deal deadline looms – Middle East crisis live
UN chief warns that deliberate attacks on civilians amount to war crime; Trump once again implores Iran to make a deal to avert attack
* Trump says ‘a whole civilisation will die’ if Iran ignores demands
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/07/israel-warns-iran-lives-at-risk-if-they-use-trains-trump-deadline
* Democrats outraged at Trump: ‘A threat to commit a war crime’
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/07/trump-iran-threat-truth-social
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/apr/07/iran-war-live-updates-trump-hormuz-threats-deadline-strikes-middle-east-conflict?page=with:block-69d4a71a8f080da25b48c4a7

Each link is worth a peek.

By Laura Tingle
11 hours ago


Donald Trump has delivered increasingly erratic language on the war in Iran. (Reuters: Kevin Lamarque)

[Insert: It's a picture of a failed and broken man. A lifetime of delusion in his closet coming home to roost.]

On Easter Sunday, US President Donald Trump was threatening Iran that it would be "living in hell", accompanied by violent profanities, which shocked United States politicians across the spectrum and led some to describe him as "unhinged".

The next day, Trump threatened Iran again, this time accompanied by the Easter Bunny.

The US president has made well over 30 declarations since early March that the US has "won the war"; "defeated Iran"; is about to win the war; doesn't need the help of other countries and does need other countries' help.

He has also said the US is talking to Iran, while threatening to bomb a country of 90 million back to the Stone Age.

Iran war live updates: For the latest news on the Middle East crisis, read our blog

Trump's increasingly erratic language means that a US president's word — which would have once been regarded with gravitas — holds perhaps only the same weight as the word of the "evil" regime he says he has obliterated several times.

When he got up to speak at a press conference at the White House briefing room on Tuesday morning (Australian time), the sense that time is now working against his rapidly thinning credibility was palpable.

After setting a number of deadlines in recent weeks, then backing away and extending them, Trump doubled down at the press conference, saying that Iran has until 8pm Tuesday US time (10am Wednesday AEST) to meet his conditions or face devastating new air strikes across Iran, from which "it will take them 100 years to rebuild".

Three proposals on a ceasefire

The United States's 15-point plan to end the war has not been publicly outlined, but was first proposed on March 25 .. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-25/trump-administration-offers-15-point-ceasefire-plan-to-iran/106495478 .. and rejected by Iran.

Israel's Channel 12 said components included: a 30-day ceasefire; the dismantling of Iran's nuclear facilities; a permanent commitment from Iran to never develop nuclear weapons; limits on the range and number of Iran's missiles; ending Iran's support for regional proxies; reopening the Strait of Hormuz; and removing all sanctions on Iran.

Trump threatens 'demolition' of Iran
Donald Trump says the "entire country" of Iran will be "taken out" if no deal is reached
by Wednesday morning (AEST), ratcheting up his threat to target civilian
infrastructure and brushing off concerns it would be a war crime.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-07/donald-trump-gives-press-conference-on-iran-war/106536482

Al Jazeera reports .. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/6/pakistan-offers-two-tier-truce-iran-wont-open-hormuz-under-temporary-one .. that Pakistan, which has become the intermediary of choice between the United States and Iran, has proposed a two-stage plan — the Islamabad Accord — involving an immediate 45-day ceasefire that includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

The proposal is that a final agreement would include Iranian commitments not to pursue nuclear weapons in exchange for sanctions relief and the release of frozen assets.

The news service quoted Iran's spokesman from the ministry of foreign affairs, Esmaeil Baghaei, saying Iran would never accept a 15-point plan put forward by the US.

"Such proposals are both extremely ambitious, unusual and illogical," he was quoted as saying.

According to Iranian state media, Iran has also delivered a 10-point proposal to end the war.

The New York Times reports .. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/iran-10-point-proposal.html .. that it includes a guarantee that Iran would not be attacked again, an end to Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the lifting of all sanctions.

In return, Iran would lift its blocking of the Strait of Hormuz and instead impose a fee for passage through the critical waterway, which would be split with Oman, and use its share of the proceeds to reconstruct infrastructure.

Significantly, there is no talk of a ceasefire or of opening the strait during a ceasefire, which others have been proposing.

It is war, or it is a stop to war, on terms that seem impossible to be agreed to by Israel, let alone the United States.

More on Iran

Trump threatens to jail journalist who broke story of US rescue mission in Iran
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-07/us-iran-airman-rescue-trump-threatens-journalist/106536810

Trump threatens 'demolition' of Iran and takes another swipe at Australia
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-07/donald-trump-gives-press-conference-on-iran-war/106536482

Iran briefing with Matthew Doran: Iran rejects truce deal
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-07/iran-israel-war-daily-briefing-tehran-ignores-trump-threat/106536590

Chinese AI helping Iran target US forces with 'incredible precision'
[Outed here [...]Retired Australian Defence Force Major General Gus McLachlan said militaries
would need to factor in Iran's ability to potentially target sites as small as 0.3 square metres
.
P - "We're seeing targets, including a US E-3 Sentry plane, being hit with incredible precision.
Our forces would take this threat very seriously — and rightfully so," he said.]

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-06/chinese-satellite-intelligence-helping-iran-target-us-forces/106535420

The Strait of Hormuz is a bargaining chip

There seem to be small areas for possible accommodation between the earlier 15-point plan and the later 10-point plan.

The bargain made by ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz
Iran is running one of the world's most critical shipping lanes as a "toll booth" and has likely made hundreds of millions
of dollars of extra income from selling its own oil since the US and Israel waged war against the regime.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-29/strait-of-hormuz-iran-control-oil-gas-us-war-israel/106491634

For example, Iranian claims for compensation have been morphed into a "toll" paid on the Strait of Hormuz.

But the bottom line remains that Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz until it gets a deal it can live with.

It is its strongest bargaining chip.

And the blocked strait is the biggest domestic and international problem for Trump.

That's because of the devastating impact it is having on the global economy and because it is the most glaring example of how, despite all the US military power, it is Iran calling the shots in this war, not Trump.

Expert analysis on the Middle East:

* TACO Trump strikes again with sudden Iran backdown
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-24/donald-trump-taco-iran-war-threats-backdown/106488596

* Trump may have lost a 'game of chicken' with Iran, which exposed a red line
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-22/trump-and-netanyahu-rift-over-iran-strike-on-qatar-energy/106479106

* It's February 2020 all over again, but this time one man can end it
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-22/the-middle-east-war-will-test-our-crisis-response-team/106479020

* How a global energy crisis can lead to stagflation
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-22/what-is-stagflation-and-what-can-we-do-about-it/106472996

Trump could choose to escalate further

In an effort to counter Iran, the US president has issued threats that experts and politicians say .. https://x.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/2040883102226997573?s=20 .. could amount to wide-scale international war crimes — from bombing bridges to power plants.

War crimes come up frequently in this conflict because, for starters, the United Nations Charter prohibits unprovoked attacks against other countries.

"All Members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any other manner inconsistent with the Purposes of the United Nations," it says.

But Trump has once again escalated the spectre of the United States openly planning to commit war crimes with his declaration that he would wipe out Iranian infrastructure — not just some of it, but all of it.

Under international law, a nation's military is allowed to strike civilian power plants and other key infrastructure only if it contributes to a military operation and civilian harm is minimised.

The Wall Street Journal has previously reported .. https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/top-aides-advise-trump-blasting-irans-infrastructure-is-fair-game-8b6aec90?mod=article_inline .. that aides to Trump have said narrowly focused US strikes are allowable because they are meant to hamper Tehran's ability to build missiles, drones and nuclear weapons.

Asked on Monday, local time, if targeting civilian infrastructure would violate international law, the US president responded: "I'm not worried about it."

"You know what's a war crime? Allowing a sick country with demented leadership to have a nuclear weapon," he added.

That is a sentiment most people around the globe would agree with, though it is unlikely to be the basis for any agreement.

Laura Tingle is the ABC's Global Affairs Editor.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-07/donald-trump-shifting-rhetoric-on-iran-war/106537698