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blackhawks

11/23/25 9:27 PM

#553592 RE: Lime Time #553563

Sorry, NOT, you ill-informed ass-hat. Busted again, bigly. Projection, Mr 'haven't a clue', is your only 'skill'.

Now, once again, if you don't buy any of what follows it should be easy to find something to contradict it.

Too bad your aversion to links dooms you yet again to eat shit. Your steady diet here. New board name, Shit Café for Trumpers?

Excess Covid deaths among unvaxxed Trump voters, how bad?

Excess COVID mortality among unvaccinated, Trump-leaning voters was very large: in multiple datasets Republicans in low-vax, pro-Trump areas had excess death rates on the order of tens of percent higher than Democrats after vaccines were available, and unvaccinated adults overall had tens-fold higher death risk than the vaccinated.[1][2][3][4]

## What the partisan mortality gap looked like

- A Yale study linking individual voter registration to death records in Ohio and Florida found that, over March 2020–Dec 2021, the overall excess death rate for Republican voters was about 15% higher than for Democratic voters.[2][5]

- In working-paper/earlier versions of the same project, excess deaths among Republicans were estimated around 70–80% higher than among Democrats, with the excess heavily concentrated after vaccines became widely available.[6][7][8]

- These gaps were negligible before mass vaccine eligibility, then opened up sharply from mid-2021 onward, and were greatest in counties with the lowest vaccination rates.[7][2][6]

## Trump vote share, vaccination, and county death rates

- Analyses comparing counties by 2020 Trump vs Biden vote share show that, once vaccines were widely available, high-Trump counties had around 2–3 times the COVID death rate of high-Biden counties, strongly correlated with lower vaccination coverage.[3][9][1]

- An NPR/Brown–CDC analysis cited in congressional testimony reported that strongly Trump-voting states and counties had much higher rates of “preventable” COVID deaths, because they had substantially lower adult vaccination rates (gaps on the order of 20 percentage points vs Biden counties).[10][3]

## How bad it was for the unvaccinated themselves

- CDC age-standardized data from late 2021 show unvaccinated adults had roughly 10–50-fold higher risk of dying from COVID than fully vaccinated adults (depending on booster status and time period).[4][11]

- Because unvaccinated adults were several times more likely to be Republican than Democratic, and were disproportionately concentrated in Trump-leaning counties, this translated directly into substantially higher excess mortality among Trump voters who remained unvaccinated.[9][1][3][10]

## Limits of what can be said

- The cleanest quantified estimates (like the Ohio/Florida voter-file linkage) are state-specific and stop in 2021, so they do not capture later Omicron-era convergence as overall immunity rose.[5][2]

- Within those limits, the evidence supports a clear conclusion: once vaccines were available, Republicans—especially in heavily Trump, low-vaccination counties—experienced markedly higher excess COVID mortality, driven largely by remaining unvaccinated.[1][2][6][7][3][9][4]

[1](https://www.npr.org/2023/07/25/1189939229/covid-deaths-democrats-republicans-gap-study)
[2](https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2807617)
[3](https://www.congress.gov/118/meeting/house/116274/documents/HHRG-118-ED14-20230726-SD002.pdf)
[4](https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e2.htm)
[5](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37486680/)
[6](https://ysph.yale.edu/news-article/study-finds-large-gap-in-excess-deaths-along-partisan-lines-after-covid-19-vaccines-introduced/)
[7](https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/once-covid-vaccines-were-introduced-more-republicans-died-than-democrats)
[8](https://www.nber.org/papers/w30512)
[9](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2022/03/03/the-changing-political-geography-of-covid-19-over-the-last-two-years/)
[10](https://www.kff.org/covid-19/the-red-blue-divide-in-covid-19-vaccination-rates-continues-an-update/)
[11](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/united-states-rates-of-covid-19-deaths-by-vaccination-status)
[12](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12316127/)
[13](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335523000335)
[14](https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/political-party-affiliation-linked-excess-covid-deaths)
[15](https://tobin.yale.edu/sites/default/files/2023-08/jamainternal_wallace_2023_oi_230025_1689612229.89523.pdf)
[16](https://www.scielosp.org/article/csp/2024.v40n5/e00194723/)
[17](https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/03/pandemic-biden-trump-deaths/)
[18](https://commhsp.org/partisan-differences-in-perceptions-of-health-disparities-in-covid-19/)
[19](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1468-0009.12672)
[20](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277953623005373)


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